Considerate-Scenery 0x8ef7e4…ca2fed
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$232
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
114
Trades
993
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$544
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 10-28 21:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
62% 63% -$200
Politics
37% 66% -$32
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +83 $47 88¢ $73 +$25 10-23 02:18
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +88 $55 74¢ $65 +$11 10-06 07:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -73 -$43 82¢ $-59 -$16 10-09 03:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -57 -$47 92¢ $-53 -$6 05-08 06:30
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 No +38 $25 92¢ $35 +$11 10-19 07:00
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +42 $35 82¢ $34 $0 09-23 06:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +34 $28 92¢ $32 +$4 07-20 15:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +37 $17 84¢ $31 +$14 08-19 20:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +28 $23 94¢ $27 +$4 09-07 17:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +25 $11 98¢ $24 +$13 10-16 04:41
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 96¢ $22 +$3 07-05 13:32
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$2 08-05 00:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 $0 10-21 19:38
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 10-27 00:53
us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026 Yes +99 $9 8¢ $7 -$1 08-18 20:43
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +53 $9 13¢ $7 -$2 10-28 07:50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +54 $27 11¢ $6 -$22 09-21 21:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $7 40¢ $5 -$2 10-28 21:53
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $10 20¢ $4 -$6 09-23 11:51
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $19 8¢ $4 -$15 09-17 16:39
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +11 $4 27¢ $3 -$1 10-21 18:11
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 08-05 01:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +3 $1 54¢ $2 +$1 10-23 16:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $7 12¢ $1 -$5 09-22 19:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 10-21 18:41
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 Yes +30 $16 3¢ $1 -$15 10-27 00:23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 2¢ $0 -$7 10-13 15:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$4 90¢ $0 +$4 10-21 14:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$3 96¢ $0 +$3 10-21 19:15