Realized P&L
+$61
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
40.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
549
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$169
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 07-21 15:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
76% 100% +$64
Politics
23% 0% $-2
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -85 $-64 86¢ $-74 $-10 06-16 10:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +28 $24 86¢ $24 +$0 07-17 14:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +37 $20 64¢ $24 +$4 06-20 00:24
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 88¢ $21 +$1 07-05 13:32
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +20 $16 83¢ $16 $-0 07-15 02:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 07-20 15:21