Realized P&L
+$335.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.55K
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
451
Trades
6,388
lifetime
Volume
$4.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$702
Open exposure
$50.5K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 23:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Politics
87% 75% +$299,315
Other
13% 52% +$35,951
Sports
0% 50% -$3
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +12,221 $10,777 71¢ $8.7K -$2,100 09-23 10:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50,000 $13,450 17¢ $8.6K -$4,825 08-06 09:20
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7,565 $7,472 100¢ $7.6K +$86 10-27 18:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5,555 $5,444 100¢ $5.5K +$83 10-28 23:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +3,511 $3,318 95¢ $3.3K +$2 10-19 22:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +19,515 $2,703 14¢ $2.6K -$69 10-28 18:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,222 $1,644 100¢ $2.2K +$578 10-21 21:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +5,555 $1,333 36¢ $2.0K +$694 10-10 17:10
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +47,041 $3,148 4¢ $1.9K -$1,267 10-27 19:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10,505 $4,730 16¢ $1.7K -$3,049 10-27 15:46
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +55,385 $1,247 2¢ $1.2K -$1 10-27 22:46
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +16,592 $1,617 8¢ $1.2K -$373 10-28 18:05
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,369 $282 88¢ $1.2K +$916 10-25 11:25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +4,117 $1,124 28¢ $1.2K +$29 10-28 18:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,686 $1,021 18¢ $489 -$532 09-20 13:08
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +950 $323 50¢ $470 +$147 10-08 01:00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +1,497 $523 18¢ $262 -$262 10-07 20:35
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +1,394 $236 16¢ $223 -$13 10-20 13:02
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +22,222 $67 0¢ $22 -$44 10-27 18:37
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +1,953 $1,328 1¢ $20 -$1,308 10-27 13:37
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,396 $18 0¢ $15 -$2 10-18 14:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +366 $99 2¢ $6 -$93 10-01 17:28
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? Yes +1,681 $41 0¢ $4 -$37 10-20 13:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$1,498 44¢ $0 +$1,498 10-18 18:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 -$389 14¢ $0 +$389 09-20 15:55