Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
35.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$290
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$116
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-21 22:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
47%
Politics
42% 50% $-16
Tech
8%
Sports
3% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -34 $-30 90¢ $-30 +$0 07-04 02:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +29 $25 94¢ $27 +$2 06-10 14:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$0 06-10 02:36
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +35 $14 38¢ $13 $-0 07-15 23:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-11 14:12
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 $-10 95¢ $-10 +$0 07-18 02:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 07-02 17:56