Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-17 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$7

Other

26% 100% +$2

Politics

15% 0% $-63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No		+22	$16	86¢	$19	+$3	06-17 18:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	1	$69	80	+80	open	—	05-18 11:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$68	69	+69	open	—	05-18 11:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$63	67	+67	Yes	$-63	05-01 12:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$58	76	+76	open	—	04-22 06:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$53	53	+53	open	—	05-04 09:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	1	$52	53	+53	open	—	05-03 06:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	05-02 06:44
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$52	55	+55	open	—	04-14 08:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	04-07 13:52
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	208	+208	open	—	04-07 13:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	1	$44	48	+48	open	—	06-02 17:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$39	41	+41	open	—	05-04 21:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	1	$33	38	+38	open	—	05-17 12:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$31	32	+32	open	—	05-04 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	1	$29	30	+30	open	—	06-01 15:38
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	1	$29	31	+31	open	—	04-15 08:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	1	$27	28	+28	open	—	05-26 10:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	1	$27	27	+27	open	—	05-25 10:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	1	$26	27	+27	open	—	05-22 07:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	05-21 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-20 11:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	1	$23	25	+25	open	—	05-19 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$22	24	+24	Yes	+$2	05-12 06:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	1	$22	27	+27	open	—	05-16 08:49
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$22	24	+24	Yes	+$2	04-15 08:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	1	$18	22	+22	Yes	+$4	05-11 04:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$16	22	+22	open	—	06-17 18:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$13	23	+23	open	—	05-04 21:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	06-02 17:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	1	$10	10,040	+10,040	open	—	05-14 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 18:28:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x2e581f…
06-02 17:25:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xedc6c6…
06-02 17:25:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0xbfb983…
06-01 15:38:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb20995…
05-26 10:57:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x0ff120…
05-25 10:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xc628f2…
05-22 07:35:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xb18906…
05-21 07:07:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x708de2…
05-20 11:55:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xcb2775…
05-19 12:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x5c4fac…
05-18 21:58:18	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xc814e1…
05-18 21:56:21	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ff2e1…
05-18 11:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x6faba7…
05-18 11:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0xec7720…
05-17 12:41:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0x07d547…
05-16 08:49:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x78866f…
05-16 08:48:07	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x01a68d…
05-14 17:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10,040	0¢	$10	0x51eab8…
05-12 06:27:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x0c5bb0…
05-11 04:40:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x2fd0cf…
05-04 21:06:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x8fdb29…
05-04 21:06:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x55015a…
05-04 09:18:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x062611…
05-04 09:18:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcd9dd4…
05-04 09:15:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xe97419…
05-03 06:56:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x7254f7…
05-02 06:44:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xd53a96…
05-01 12:53:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xf6f779…
04-22 06:41:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x27725a…
04-21 08:18:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x7f1337…
04-17 06:53:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x400148…
04-15 08:24:04	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xe46c29…
04-15 08:18:46	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0xdedfaa…
04-14 08:35:35	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$52	0x819dc8…
04-07 13:52:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf5dc02…
04-07 13:52:25	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x412a11…