(anonymous) 0x9152e4…4369a5 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$427
Unrealized P&L
+$542
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
380
lifetime
Volume
$33.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$12.5K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-11 10:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$84
Politics
48% 67% +$343
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5,826 -$5,780 98¢ $-5730 +$51 11-05 08:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,500 $1,320 92¢ $1.4K +$52 09-29 02:12
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? No +1,298 $1,154 92¢ $1.2K +$47 11-11 10:18
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +851 $723 98¢ $838 +$115 11-01 23:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +749 $694 98¢ $733 +$39 11-03 14:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +723 $590 94¢ $676 +$86 11-03 00:26
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +619 $543 97¢ $598 +$55 11-06 12:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +300 $291 97¢ $292 +$1 11-08 13:50
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +200 $188 98¢ $196 +$8 10-03 00:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +218 $180 88¢ $193 +$12 11-10 14:06
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +200 $156 71¢ $142 -$14 11-07 04:36
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +150 $130 88¢ $131 +$2 11-09 21:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? No +144 $124 88¢ $128 +$4 11-08 21:39
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 11-06 20:29
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? No +100 $94 94¢ $94 +$0 11-06 14:43
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +75 $68 92¢ $69 +$1 11-09 14:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +0 -$10 97¢ $0 +$10 11-09 20:47
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? No +0 -$3 99¢ $0 +$3 10-20 16:34
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$68 99¢ $0 +$68 11-06 16:37