Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

+$262

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

603

Trades

2,587

lifetime

Volume

$192.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$555

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Politics

41% 43% -$293

Crypto

30% 43% -$2,207

Other

29% 32% +$515

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+714	$207	46¢	$325	+$118	10-27 20:56
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+610	$86	38¢	$231	+$144	10-24 17:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	90	$17.0K	15,254	11,833	+3,421	Yes	+$2,330	01-30 17:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	50	$7.2K	101,738	101,738	+0	Yes	-$425	01-31 16:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	56	$6.4K	5,085	5,720	-634	No	+$115	01-23 15:33
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	59	$5.9K	11,016	3,151	+7,865	Yes	-$1,350	02-06 19:36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	17	$5.2K	4,236	4,236	+0	Yes	-$60	02-05 11:30
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	96	$5.1K	5,680	2,776	+2,904	No	+$1,207	01-25 01:10
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	69	$4.9K	4,522	4,277	+246	No	+$295	01-26 19:16
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	41	$3.8K	2,363	2,363	+0	Yes	+$734	01-26 21:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	23	$3.6K	2,877	2,877	+0	No	+$225	01-24 19:24
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	42	$3.3K	2,476	2,776	-300	No	+$40	02-01 09:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$3.2K	5,065	5,065	+0	Yes	+$159	02-28 07:37
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	120	$3.1K	4,455	3,125	+1,330	Yes	-$89	01-26 15:38
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	44	$3.0K	9,412	5,889	+3,523	Yes	-$1,185	02-03 09:57
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 13	18	$2.8K	7,515	2,096	+5,420	Yes	-$988	02-03 05:58
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	12	$2.6K	2,461	2,461	+0	No	-$124	03-22 08:17
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	39	$2.6K	2,777	2,656	+121	Yes	-$113	02-06 06:14
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	19	$2.3K	6,685	4,152	+2,533	Alcaraz	-$897	02-01 11:47
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	17	$2.1K	1,763	1,763	+0	No	+$201	03-06 06:58
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	26	$1.9K	4,234	4,620	-386	No	+$201	01-16 18:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	12	$1.9K	1,806	1,806	+0	No	-$28	04-06 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 08:30 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,722	1,696	+27	Down	+$30	03-22 08:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$1.8K	2,112	2,112	+0	No	-$16	03-14 06:43
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	22	$1.5K	1,862	1,949	-88	No	+$47	02-09 09:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	11	$1.5K	1,306	1,306	+0	No	+$10	03-05 13:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	9	$1.4K	2,996	2,896	+100	Yes	+$533	04-17 18:58
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	26	$1.4K	2,882	155	+2,727	open	—	10-26 09:02
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	22	$1.1K	2,800	1,062	+1,739	No	+$166	01-15 01:31
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	12	$1.1K	1,250	1,154	+96	Yes	+$492	10-25 20:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$1.1K	2,621	2,621	+0	Yes	-$94	03-01 07:47
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	23	$1.0K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	-$75	01-18 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:09:20	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	582	1¢	$4	0xcfa137…
10-27 20:56:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x9266a2…
10-27 20:30:20	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0xf05dbb…
10-27 20:30:20	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb22a0d…
10-27 20:30:18	Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	267	3¢	$8	0xfb5838…
10-27 20:30:18	Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xbf4bb2…
10-27 20:30:18	Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	141	3¢	$4	0x89c7ca…
10-27 20:30:18	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x5c0400…
10-27 20:30:18	Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x08efa4…
10-27 20:26:23	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc800b0…
10-27 20:13:42	Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x568530…
10-27 20:13:41	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xf479ef…
10-27 20:13:41	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xc5f1a4…
10-27 20:13:41	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0xc56740…
10-27 20:13:41	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xb9dd66…
10-27 19:36:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	330	26¢	$86	0x7f0d93…
10-27 11:43:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x9fef50…
10-27 11:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	132	11¢	$14	0x1773c1…
10-26 12:40:33	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	158	72¢	$114	0x59d506…
10-26 09:02:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x2ce1e4…
10-25 23:56:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xfee232…
10-25 23:50:41	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xf3243b…
10-25 21:54:08	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xee3034…
10-25 21:47:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	269	65¢	$176	0x007a95…
10-25 20:54:53	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x3bd11c…
10-25 20:54:12	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xff0e05…
10-25 20:32:06	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	120	75¢	$90	0x9e75f5…
10-25 20:07:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x432808…
10-25 19:47:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	137	44¢	$60	0x791a18…
10-25 19:47:08	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xcabdce…
10-25 19:47:00	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xf4552b…
10-25 19:46:53	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	447	45¢	$200	0xbec1ad…
10-25 19:18:29	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0xab802b…
10-25 18:12:33	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x6deaab…
10-25 16:41:56	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x5e0e41…
10-25 16:35:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0x1affc6…
10-25 16:17:38	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	180	16¢	$29	0xaed977…
10-25 15:28:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	606	56¢	$339	0xb71dec…
10-25 13:44:33	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	155	40¢	$62	0x4744aa…
10-25 13:37:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	62	41¢	$25	0x4753cb…
10-25 13:37:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x29b556…
10-25 13:37:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8e1c9d…
10-25 13:37:06	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xef6cd2…
10-25 13:30:09	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	104	41¢	$43	0xd42341…
10-25 13:30:09	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	76	41¢	$31	0x10548a…
10-25 13:29:56	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	105	41¢	$43	0xbe8752…
10-25 11:45:09	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	489	65¢	$318	0x93059d…
10-25 11:26:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	61	72¢	$44	0x43c2b7…
10-25 11:22:54	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x894f32…
10-25 09:56:27	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0x829b1c…
10-25 09:51:30	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xfaf797…
10-24 17:41:05	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x387282…
10-24 16:34:33	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xb0d33a…
10-24 16:06:20	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x0f936b…
10-24 16:05:38	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x082438…
10-24 16:05:21	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x836542…
10-24 15:23:18	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	180	15¢	$26	0x7e5a9f…
10-24 15:20:17	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$34	0xd529e6…
10-24 05:52:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x0db81f…
10-24 05:51:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	410	25¢	$102	0x9c8108…
10-22 20:14:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	89	29¢	$26	0x9287cc…
10-22 11:36:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0x080d81…
10-21 11:15:57	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x292d9e…
10-21 09:06:14	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfd414d…
10-21 08:26:27	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xd79d99…
10-21 07:40:06	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x6f1844…
10-21 07:28:24	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0x58698c…
10-21 06:10:35	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xed9fbd…
10-21 06:05:26	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x5bc297…
10-21 06:05:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x27ac51…
10-20 20:16:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x81c635…
10-20 20:16:21	Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	137	12¢	$16	0x1a31cc…
10-20 20:10:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	240	29¢	$70	0x56a3fb…
10-20 20:08:48	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	176	31¢	$55	0x25554a…
10-20 20:04:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0xb2e74c…
10-20 19:55:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	346	21¢	$73	0xa0f08c…
10-20 12:00:53	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x658b8d…
10-20 10:30:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	190	30¢	$57	0x3af46e…
10-20 07:51:14	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	SELL	288	21¢	$62	0xb217b0…
10-05 17:13:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0xb4f648…
10-05 17:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x9e7e81…
10-05 17:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd11686…
10-05 17:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x62d658…
10-05 17:10:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x4bd029…
10-05 17:08:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	31	86¢	$26	0x862797…
10-05 17:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e4ae7…
10-05 17:04:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x89ce06…
10-05 17:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x16bd4a…
10-05 17:01:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc4ac18…
10-05 17:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfc97fe…
10-05 17:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x093aae…
10-05 17:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd95999…
10-05 17:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa8112f…
10-05 16:56:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd9de61…
10-05 16:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8910e9…
10-05 16:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb6fea2…
10-05 13:16:13	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	61	35¢	$21	0xa8cde6…
10-05 12:44:22	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xcb38ab…
10-05 12:43:35	Will Vladan Petrov win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x19c422…
10-05 12:42:22	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Novak Djokovic	SELL	52	68¢	$35	0xf97c85…