Realized P&L
-$1.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
63.7%
Resolved
4,264
Trades
21,574
lifetime
Volume
$342.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 03:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
91% 56% -$588
Sports
5% 55% -$179
Politics
4% 62% -$534
Crypto
1% 13% -$111
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 893 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +407 $281 94¢ $383 +$101 10-15 15:47
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +281 $225 98¢ $275 +$50 10-15 20:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +141 $116 82¢ $115 -$1 10-24 16:05
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +108 $97 88¢ $95 -$2 10-05 12:22
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B Envy +138 $78 60¢ $83 +$5 10-26 21:35
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +69 $44 100¢ $69 +$24 10-09 14:36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +94 $84 72¢ $67 -$16 09-17 14:02
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +96 $84 70¢ $66 -$18 10-10 07:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +56 $40 94¢ $53 +$13 10-15 14:12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +54 $50 97¢ $53 +$2 09-20 21:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +46 $40 100¢ $46 +$6 10-23 21:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +51 $39 88¢ $44 +$5 10-15 12:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +45 $39 96¢ $43 +$4 10-25 08:40
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs Inner Circle Esports +58 $40 74¢ $43 +$3 10-26 18:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +39 $37 100¢ $39 +$2 10-16 20:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +49 $40 78¢ $39 -$1 10-15 12:42
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +48 $40 76¢ $37 -$3 10-16 03:56
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +41 $12 81¢ $33 +$22 09-11 21:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +48 $38 69¢ $33 -$5 10-14 04:09
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +34 $31 97¢ $33 +$2 10-05 14:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +50 $27 66¢ $33 +$6 10-21 22:43
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $32 72¢ $32 $0 10-14 17:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $22 66¢ $30 +$8 09-13 21:41
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +42 $36 72¢ $30 -$6 10-10 07:21
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +53 $12 52¢ $28 +$15 09-17 21:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +455 $133 6¢ $27 -$106 10-15 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +73 $26 36¢ $27 +$1 10-26 08:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +27 $24 98¢ $26 +$2 10-25 21:58
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +25 $16 86¢ $22 +$5 09-08 22:20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +35 $24 55¢ $20 -$5 10-10 12:09