Realized P&L
+$53
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
76.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,760
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$187
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 08:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
76%
Other
12% 75% +$53
Tech
11%
Politics
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +89 $69 72¢ $65 $-5 07-18 19:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -30 $-29 92¢ $-28 +$1 07-07 17:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +35 $26 76¢ $27 +$0 07-03 21:58
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +32 $25 76¢ $24 $-1 07-09 12:30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +25 $20 64¢ $16 $-4 06-18 17:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$1 06-13 03:01
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +65 $52 20¢ $13 $-39 07-21 08:02