Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
24
Trades
75
lifetime
Volume
$2.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$60
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-10 10:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$104
Other
17% 100% +$7
Tech
13% 83% -$115
Crypto
4% 100% +$14
Sports
4% 83% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -25 -$29 98¢ $-24 +$5 10-10 10:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -87 -$19 18¢ $-16 +$3 06-11 13:20
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -400 -$52 4¢ $-16 +$37 06-11 11:15
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +48 $4 8¢ $4 $0 06-19 20:44
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes +30 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 05-11 02:18