Oval-Tusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$521

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

793

Trades

3,704

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-24 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 35% -$341

Other

28% 43% +$145

Sports

21% 46% -$469

Politics

13% 69% +$143

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-161	-$15	4¢	$-7	+$8	05-25 07:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	-77	-$8	2¢	$-2	+$7	05-09 01:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+37	$10	4¢	$1	-$9	05-02 05:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$1.3K	1,122	1,122	+0	Yes	+$523	04-12 23:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$450	518	518	+0	Yes	+$30	03-02 06:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$405	226	226	+0	Yes	+$35	03-01 02:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$320	208	208	+0	No	+$70	04-24 08:43
nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	12	$305	435	2	+433	Clippers	-$303	03-03 05:10
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	4	$285	237	237	+0	New York Yankees	+$135	05-31 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:45 UTC	57	$283	356	243	+112	Up	-$81	03-18 15:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$277	905	198	+707	No	-$173	03-03 03:15
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$189	156	156	+0	Yes	+$89	02-28 06:43
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3pm et	25	$188	177	93	+84	Down	-$1	03-18 20:24
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	5	$147	94	94	+0	Celtics	+$40	03-03 03:00
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:25 UTC	6	$143	107	103	+4	Up	+$62	03-18 15:31
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$135	85	85	+0	New York Yankees	+$35	05-13 02:06
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 2pm et	21	$134	131	74	+57	Down	+$15	03-18 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 22:45 UTC	63	$130	246	70	+176	Up	-$47	03-18 22:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$130	1,911	1,911	+0	No	+$30	03-01 00:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:15 UTC	21	$126	111	82	+29	Up	+$27	03-18 15:31
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	3	$125	309	0	+309	Athletics	-$125	05-31 03:10
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 11am et	6	$124	79	78	+1	Up	+$25	03-18 15:52
ethereum up or down march 18 2026 4pm et	22	$123	143	50	+93	Up	-$23	03-18 21:59
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$122	66	66	+0	No	+$2	05-22 17:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC	71	$115	185	109	+76	Down	+$26	03-18 23:12
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	4	$115	119	119	+0	Boston Red Sox	-$5	06-09 18:40
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	6	$114	300	293	+7	Lakers	-$46	04-22 05:09
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 76forhigher	6	$111	235	228	+7	No	-$65	04-24 21:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$104	56	56	+0	No	+$4	03-01 19:37
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 4pm et	11	$103	88	57	+31	Up	+$11	03-18 21:58
nhl col edm 2026 04 13	4	$88	107	107	+0	Avalanche	+$18	04-14 04:13
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:20 UTC	19	$87	72	42	+29	Down	-$2	03-18 16:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:30 UTC	25	$85	109	13	+96	Up	+$21	03-18 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 07:26:20	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xfcdc28…
07-07 17:16:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x0b2a73…
06-28 21:58:32	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28	New York Yankees	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf5c123…
06-25 22:24:31	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 25	New York Yankees	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xe883ec…
06-25 04:00:01	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 nrfi	No	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x1756e9…
06-25 00:10:58	mlb nyy det 2026 06 24	New York Yankees	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xbc8131…
06-09 18:40:48	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	Boston Red Sox	SELL	23	51¢	$11	0x751e48…
06-09 01:31:31	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08	New York Yankees	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xb7ef69…
06-07 17:20:22	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	Boston Red Sox	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x18aaf9…
06-07 17:19:10	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 nrfi	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe14cce…
06-07 01:43:16	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	SELL	96	46¢	$44	0xb0456e…
06-06 22:35:30	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xf33e6c…
06-02 23:41:16	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8ccfbf…
05-31 21:12:44	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	172	96¢	$166	0xfad7b3…
05-31 20:33:03	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xa378fe…
05-31 20:32:35	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	SELL	64	70¢	$45	0xf98d55…
05-31 20:02:57	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x80aab6…
05-31 03:10:10	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x3b7c56…
05-31 03:08:00	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x1b11f2…
05-30 20:18:04	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Athletics	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4abde4…
05-30 20:17:18	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x6650be…
05-28 00:00:05	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x31fda1…
05-26 17:06:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	962	2¢	$20	0x4418b5…
05-25 07:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	962	3¢	$25	0xc268c8…
05-25 07:31:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	327	1¢	$3	0x10d8d9…
05-25 07:31:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	91	6¢	$5	0x4b41dc…
05-25 07:30:41	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	308	13¢	$40	0xf27f65…
05-23 21:09:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x8e9d97…
05-23 06:27:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xb8463d…
05-23 06:06:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x4a9106…
05-22 17:48:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	68	52¢	$35	0x63c0e5…
05-22 17:48:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	66	94¢	$62	0x010d34…
05-22 01:35:33	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x87c249…
05-22 00:33:36	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x0c1722…
05-21 08:20:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x30aa1e…
05-21 03:56:06	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8207e8…
05-19 06:04:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa315a3…
05-19 01:13:47	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	153	16¢	$25	0x0940e5…
05-18 21:28:03	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x99c8f4…
05-18 21:27:02	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x72057a…
05-16 21:03:07	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x21c3e6…
05-13 18:00:18	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x9aa18f…
05-13 02:06:09	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x30602f…
05-12 14:51:40	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x0ef3ce…
05-11 20:22:59	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xf70055…
05-10 20:44:40	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7aac03…
05-10 20:21:22	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x6d0459…
05-10 02:23:43	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x513406…
05-09 23:28:11	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe72b52…
05-09 15:05:30	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x59bd22…
05-09 02:10:17	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd923a3…
05-09 01:52:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	77	11¢	$8	0x4bf7a3…
05-09 00:57:06	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x1f392d…
05-08 16:26:11	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa0ae59…
05-08 16:25:15	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xa54b8e…
05-07 01:05:06	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x6b5e39…
05-06 18:32:12	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	Texas Rangers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x26e998…
05-06 18:29:05	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x574768…
05-05 17:52:10	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd934f7…
05-05 17:50:46	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x702230…
05-05 06:18:56	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	Lanlana Tararudee	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05edb0…
05-05 05:41:26	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x31fdd5…
05-05 05:30:28	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc35b0f…
05-05 05:02:08	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	Lanlana Tararudee	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xf70020…
05-05 04:55:44	Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x25be37…
05-05 04:37:58	Wuxi: Jason Jung vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5aeaf6…
05-05 04:18:46	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa81ada…
05-05 04:18:46	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x74116d…
05-05 04:17:50	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdb2c04…
05-05 04:17:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x084b6b…
05-05 04:12:44	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xfc197e…
05-05 04:11:06	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6186f2…
05-05 03:56:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc5961b…
05-05 03:56:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3eb1a7…
05-05 03:47:50	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x224a73…
05-05 03:46:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x81e9de…
05-05 01:49:26	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x9414b2…
05-05 01:45:06	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x83eb85…
05-05 00:11:02	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x50ff6c…
05-04 23:58:44	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd69aac…
05-04 23:57:12	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f2117…
05-04 22:59:10	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	New York Mets	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9dcfa8…
05-04 20:59:56	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x66690b…
05-04 20:58:44	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe41aad…
05-04 20:43:08	Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$12	0xe6d557…
05-04 20:43:02	Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xde6e31…
05-04 20:43:02	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x6cdec8…
05-04 20:31:48	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x482a25…
05-04 20:27:00	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x755292…
05-04 20:27:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x65a5b9…
05-04 20:27:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2bf7e4…
05-04 20:17:34	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xa924ad…
05-04 19:51:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova	Taylor Townsend	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd9a0cc…
05-04 19:51:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova	Taylor Townsend	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x522c0c…
05-04 19:46:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova	Taylor Townsend	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x988695…
05-04 19:42:42	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xec481c…
05-04 19:40:00	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa6d015…
05-04 19:29:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova	Taylor Townsend	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x318253…
05-04 19:15:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova	Rebecca Sramkova	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x962d06…
05-04 19:15:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova	Rebecca Sramkova	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb0f55f…