Fond-Congressman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$356

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-14 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$8

Other

36% 0% $-10

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No		+7	$5	46¢	$3	$-2	06-14 07:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	1	$20	593	0	+593	open	—	01-28 23:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	03-25 23:06
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$18	231	231	+0	open	—	04-09 11:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$18	95	0	+95	open	—	01-11 22:07
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	04-21 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	05-09 07:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$13	82	82	+0	open	—	03-29 14:26
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	2	$11	39	38	+0	open	—	03-08 21:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$10	44	0	+44	Yes	$-10	05-02 07:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	01-09 23:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-30 20:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-15 09:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 20:40
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-25 19:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	04-09 11:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$9	33	0	+33	open	—	04-07 22:36
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	1	$7	39	0	+39	open	—	03-10 22:16
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$7	31	31	+0	open	—	03-25 23:06
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 19:17
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 20:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-01 20:13
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 20:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-09 11:39
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-01 20:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-24 19:07
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-24 19:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-01 20:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-14 07:20
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-24 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 07:20:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5990da…
06-04 21:35:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xd7cea4…
06-01 20:17:17	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x428424…
06-01 20:17:06	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x551f64…
06-01 20:17:03	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x35ed18…
06-01 20:13:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2ebd8f…
06-01 20:13:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xed7a4d…
05-31 20:03:12	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	No	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x758b5a…
05-30 20:26:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xefada4…
05-28 21:17:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xccc519…
05-28 21:16:25	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4bc28b…
05-24 19:08:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6d4d2f…
05-24 19:08:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4c318b…
05-24 19:07:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa83c2b…
05-24 19:05:04	World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway	Norway	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf642c7…
05-18 20:30:31	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x72d9fe…
05-18 20:30:25	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xda963d…
05-18 20:30:20	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x29d3cf…
05-18 20:30:18	Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa14b27…
05-18 20:30:18	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5e1cdf…
05-18 20:30:17	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcaa811…
05-17 08:17:02	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5114e8…
05-17 08:16:54	Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x523cb9…
05-17 08:16:43	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa6d9e7…
05-17 08:16:34	Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x367a4c…
05-17 08:16:26	Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x79e039…
05-17 08:16:15	Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7c745b…
05-17 08:15:54	Will Trump say "Camera" this week?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc4b51f…
05-17 08:15:45	Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x56a975…
05-17 08:15:35	Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb2e636…
05-17 08:15:26	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0607b2…
05-17 08:15:17	Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0a9247…
05-17 08:15:00	Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x31ab04…
05-17 08:14:51	Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" this week?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8b104e…
05-17 08:14:42	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xea60ea…
05-17 08:14:35	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x590f53…
05-17 08:14:25	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3050db…
05-17 08:14:20	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x524831…
05-17 08:10:37	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x85dec9…
05-16 19:17:41	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x761bfa…
05-13 21:58:59	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x43275d…
05-13 21:58:52	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x532d1e…
05-13 21:58:39	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa347d6…
05-13 21:58:29	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd4bc19…
05-13 21:58:18	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa3c7d5…
05-13 21:58:10	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0483d1…
05-13 21:58:03	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf57ba5…
05-13 21:57:56	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72a73e…
05-09 07:40:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x58c1cd…
05-02 07:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x7df4bd…
05-02 07:31:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1e6797…
05-02 07:25:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xf6ec54…
04-21 18:42:54	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x1d56dc…
04-15 09:59:48	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xac326e…
04-09 11:39:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd6020e…
04-09 11:37:21	lol wb nip 2026 04 09	Weibo Gaming	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x84c7df…
04-09 11:36:35	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	4¢	$9	0xdf8bdf…
04-09 11:24:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x5c5bc8…
04-08 20:40:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8bb6b7…
04-07 22:36:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x7f3acb…
04-07 22:36:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x2f4bc0…
03-29 14:29:52	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	4¢	$9	0xbbdeba…
03-29 14:26:56	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x613325…
03-25 23:07:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	82	14¢	$11	0x734e2d…
03-25 23:06:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xfef8b0…
03-25 23:06:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x91846d…
03-25 19:24:03	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb02978…
03-22 20:23:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x10e135…
03-20 23:24:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x98d83c…
03-20 23:23:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x29dfb3…
03-10 22:16:25	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0x4c17b3…
03-08 21:42:01	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xa7692d…
03-08 21:37:11	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	No	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xbf642d…
03-01 07:30:19	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x54b404…
01-28 23:18:38	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	Yes	BUY	593	3¢	$20	0x4a837e…
01-11 22:07:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0x001cb0…
01-09 23:13:38	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xee98d7…