Posh-Oversight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-23 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Crypto

42% 0% $-5

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	04-17 13:13
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	04-03 07:01
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	3	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	04-30 00:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-10 13:25
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-09 07:54
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-13 11:29
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-15 14:04
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 09:12
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-20 03:59
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	03-22 09:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	03-22 09:36
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$60	31	30	+0	open	—	03-24 07:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	04-26 14:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$55	35	20	+15	open	—	05-19 15:50
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-15 13:26
btc updown 5m 1774787400	4	$43	44	44	+1	open	—	03-29 12:33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-23 10:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 07:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-13 15:40
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 14:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-06 02:22
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-23 02:41
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	06-17 04:17
btc updown 5m 1774785900	4	$30	49	49	+0	open	—	03-29 12:08
btc updown 5m 1774593600	4	$27	27	26	+0	open	—	03-27 06:44
btc updown 5m 1774594200	6	$27	26	25	+0	open	—	03-27 06:54
btc updown 5m 1774786200	3	$27	34	34	+0	open	—	03-29 12:12
btc updown 5m 1774594800	1	$26	56	0	+56	open	—	03-27 07:00
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	06-17 04:17
btc updown 5m 1774785600	3	$22	27	27	+0	open	—	03-29 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 02:41:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe280ef…
06-23 02:41:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xcf6197…
06-20 14:37:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7b0da2…
06-20 14:36:32	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc8cd89…
06-20 14:36:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe327af…
06-20 11:01:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5307a7…
06-20 11:01:11	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8ad65…
06-17 04:18:29	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21176b…
06-17 04:17:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x69c37a…
06-17 04:17:07	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xe03935…
06-12 07:46:03	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x09a653…
06-12 07:45:45	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xe760c6…
06-10 00:15:16	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x52f393…
05-20 15:56:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xcedaed…
05-19 15:50:47	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7d5912…
05-19 15:50:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x235052…
05-13 15:40:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x380189…
05-13 15:40:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0e78b…
05-13 15:40:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5ddba6…
05-13 15:40:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbcc15e…
05-13 15:39:47	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	12	39¢	$4	0xc4ab68…
05-06 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9c0a6c…
04-30 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xe85d5d…
04-30 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1a8a97…
04-30 00:17:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x7ed3f0…
04-30 00:17:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9b2c65…
04-30 00:17:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe0b891…
04-26 14:39:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xa1ab7a…
04-23 10:31:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x02dbdb…
04-23 10:30:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x8845c6…
04-21 09:54:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$22	0x0f0f7a…
04-20 07:13:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6d64ef…
04-17 13:14:48	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe13f06…
04-17 13:13:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x679584…
04-15 13:26:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x6808d6…
04-15 13:26:04	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xec1b09…
04-13 09:33:07	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4b0daf…
04-10 13:25:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38ee89…
04-10 13:25:43	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xda5317…
04-08 22:54:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x867a84…
04-08 22:53:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x8ad226…
04-06 02:22:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xdc7297…
04-06 01:34:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x534b75…
04-06 01:34:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9ea131…
04-03 07:02:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x29a508…
04-03 07:01:49	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xd03b36…
03-29 14:47:00	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xa86426…
03-29 12:33:10	btc updown 5m 1774787400	Down	SELL	44	64¢	$28	0x6e766b…
03-29 12:32:02	btc updown 5m 1774787400	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x1d860c…
03-29 12:30:56	btc updown 5m 1774787400	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x20544d…
03-29 12:30:34	btc updown 5m 1774787400	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe9b798…
03-29 12:29:08	btc updown 5m 1774787100	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xcf2078…
03-29 12:27:38	btc updown 5m 1774787100	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x59360a…
03-29 12:17:40	btc updown 5m 1774786500	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x4939f3…
03-29 12:17:02	btc updown 5m 1774786500	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc88bb5…
03-29 12:12:46	btc updown 5m 1774786200	Up	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0x59e7f4…
03-29 12:12:28	btc updown 5m 1774786200	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x70d8aa…
03-29 12:12:12	btc updown 5m 1774786200	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc08c10…
03-29 12:08:58	btc updown 5m 1774785900	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$13	0x8ad049…
03-29 12:08:48	btc updown 5m 1774785900	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x0caee4…
03-29 12:08:26	btc updown 5m 1774785900	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xc8194a…
03-29 12:07:58	btc updown 5m 1774785900	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0c115a…
03-29 12:02:12	btc updown 5m 1774785600	Up	SELL	27	47¢	$12	0x21c0d7…
03-29 12:02:02	btc updown 5m 1774785600	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x73bc4a…
03-29 12:01:50	btc updown 5m 1774785600	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x05bef9…
03-29 11:56:48	btc updown 5m 1774785300	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x81ce23…
03-29 11:55:32	btc updown 5m 1774785300	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x26e8d8…
03-27 07:11:53	btc updown 5m 1774595400	Down	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x904280…
03-27 07:10:29	btc updown 5m 1774595400	Down	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x810ac3…
03-27 07:00:19	btc updown 5m 1774594800	Down	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0xd84dc2…
03-27 06:57:57	btc updown 5m 1774594500	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x99c439…
03-27 06:54:37	btc updown 5m 1774594200	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0xc6f180…
03-27 06:54:11	btc updown 5m 1774594200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x437ce1…
03-27 06:53:29	btc updown 5m 1774594200	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x0524a7…
03-27 06:51:51	btc updown 5m 1774594200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x87a7e3…
03-27 06:51:21	btc updown 5m 1774594200	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x4613fb…
03-27 06:50:53	btc updown 5m 1774594200	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4a2e14…
03-27 06:44:57	btc updown 5m 1774593600	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xc2ca71…
03-27 06:44:15	btc updown 5m 1774593600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x08b619…
03-27 06:42:09	btc updown 5m 1774593600	Down	SELL	22	56¢	$13	0xfeed3d…
03-27 06:41:35	btc updown 5m 1774593600	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x697eb3…
03-24 07:44:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xe3de02…
03-22 09:36:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x84d09f…
03-22 09:36:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xf8ca06…
03-22 09:35:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x272dc1…
03-22 09:35:05	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3fd174…
03-20 03:59:43	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf834a5…
03-20 03:59:27	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x38a55f…
03-19 09:12:21	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xf59de1…
03-19 09:12:05	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x70df2f…
03-18 07:13:33	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5dd70a…
03-15 14:04:07	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xca2c7f…
03-13 11:29:29	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x3b581a…
03-13 11:29:13	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x8ebaa8…
03-11 14:54:53	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x175039…
03-09 07:54:37	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x3ee8f0…
03-07 00:54:53	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xce9e6c…
03-07 00:54:03	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa44dec…
02-17 15:20:15	lol th g2 2026 02 17	Team Heretics	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5cc0c4…
02-14 14:32:21	efa sot lei 2026 02 14 sot	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x6c22cd…