Growling-Opportunist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

+$134

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

145

Trades

1,566

lifetime

Volume

$72.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$139

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

44% 75% -$203

Politics

39% 71% +$638

Crypto

16% 88% +$895

Tech

1% 100% +$58

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+82	$80	94¢	$77	-$3	09-25 10:57
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	+64	$60	97¢	$62	+$2	10-05 13:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+13	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	10-15 06:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	-$141	90¢	$0	+$141	09-26 20:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$2	44¢	$0	-$2	10-02 09:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	25	$6.6K	3,448	3,448	-0	No	-$15	02-11 16:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	34	$3.3K	2,019	1,793	+226	No	+$81	03-06 18:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	11	$2.8K	1,645	1,645	+0	No	+$236	03-23 10:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	181	$2.2K	1,402	1,402	+0	open	—	09-26 20:21
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	11	$1.9K	1,016	1,008	+8	No	+$113	02-27 18:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$1.9K	1,239	958	+280	No	+$126	05-11 19:01
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$1.8K	958	958	+0	No	+$50	02-28 02:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	12	$1.8K	1,087	787	+300	No	+$12	01-30 08:18
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	30	$1.7K	1,747	1,747	+0	No	-$364	02-17 15:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	19	$1.7K	1,886	0	+1,886	Yes	+$235	10-09 22:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	13	$1.5K	1,005	1,005	+0	No	+$116	03-23 10:13
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	22	$1.5K	762	772	-10	No	+$52	02-28 13:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	20	$1.3K	691	691	+0	open	—	10-05 18:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	35	$1.2K	1,106	1,066	+40	Yes	-$9	02-05 14:55
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	6	$1.2K	694	694	+0	No	+$28	03-09 12:45
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	3	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$11	03-10 15:38
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	44	$1.2K	618	608	+10	No	+$12	03-10 03:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	87	$1.2K	0	1,217	-1,217	No	-$12	06-19 13:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$1.2K	760	460	+300	Yes	+$9	01-24 01:10
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$1.1K	900	237	+663	No	+$17	01-21 18:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	51	$1.1K	1,273	0	+1,273	No	+$178	09-26 03:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	12	$1.1K	830	277	+553	No	+$33	06-29 01:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	13	$1.0K	573	600	-27	No	+$0	02-02 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$1.0K	581	581	+0	No	+$9	07-11 15:38
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	14	$946	959	0	+959	Yes	+$12	07-06 13:53
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	15	$945	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$255	02-28 14:19
will russia enter zaliznychne by february 28	9	$890	614	293	+321	Yes	+$8	02-07 09:28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	13	$829	479	479	+0	No	+$68	07-29 04:32
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	27	$806	430	430	+0	No	+$24	03-03 05:22
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$780	561	561	+0	No	-$146	03-23 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:09:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	179	71¢	$127	0x5aa543…
11-01 18:09:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	71¢	$127	0x14ca9b…
10-31 07:02:19	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	108	71¢	$77	0x874f9f…
10-31 07:01:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xf3d886…
10-31 01:51:57	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	70¢	$60	0x6ccaf6…
10-31 01:51:55	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	124	70¢	$87	0x2325ac…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x9622d6…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0x8d8e0e…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x8cdba8…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x392de5…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x2b6b77…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	70¢	$60	0x12711c…
10-31 01:51:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x0e5481…
10-31 01:51:13	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xd3d387…
10-31 01:51:13	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xcf8059…
10-31 01:51:13	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	115	70¢	$81	0xcd43d1…
10-31 01:51:13	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x58e0b1…
10-31 01:51:13	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x237d4a…
10-30 11:34:21	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x538dab…
10-30 11:33:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xd8b31e…
10-28 05:47:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	178	50¢	$89	0x957357…
10-28 05:46:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	99	49¢	$48	0xd7e045…
10-28 04:40:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x1b1adf…
10-28 04:39:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xac996f…
10-28 04:38:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0xd8e086…
10-28 04:24:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xabff96…
10-28 04:23:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xb3e7f5…
10-28 04:23:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x707049…
10-28 04:15:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x462746…
10-28 04:14:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x419b90…
10-28 04:11:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xc795f0…
10-28 04:10:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x5e43a8…
10-28 04:09:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x100b6e…
10-28 04:09:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x746ed6…
10-28 04:09:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe69383…
10-28 04:08:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xfdfd64…
10-28 04:08:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x3cedd2…
10-28 04:07:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	161	53¢	$86	0xbc7548…
10-28 04:07:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x687933…
10-28 04:06:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xdcf4ad…
10-28 04:06:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x2693bf…
10-28 04:06:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xf6848f…
10-28 04:06:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0a7a23…
10-28 04:06:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x85736e…
10-28 04:05:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xa20938…
10-28 04:04:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xeb9c21…
10-28 04:04:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x872527…
10-28 04:04:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0x1d551d…
10-28 04:04:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xabcf78…
10-28 04:03:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xb1d5ce…
10-28 04:03:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x21d069…
10-28 04:03:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xdd3b39…
10-28 04:02:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xd6b460…
10-28 04:02:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0e7f08…
10-28 04:02:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xb5156e…
10-28 04:02:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x536ffa…
10-28 04:01:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xe43b68…
10-28 04:01:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc83e8b…
10-28 04:01:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x73bb9e…
10-28 03:59:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xabe210…
10-27 23:16:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0xcbea44…
10-26 20:05:20	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	118	75¢	$88	0x0b9790…
10-26 19:51:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	84	75¢	$63	0xb2d14b…
10-26 19:51:18	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	72¢	$123	0xb11ab8…
10-26 19:00:59	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8076bc…
10-26 18:51:18	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x7f51f6…
10-26 18:15:17	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9f883a…
10-26 17:22:02	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0xd50517…
10-26 11:35:05	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x55b6e3…
10-26 05:26:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$88	0x0f04c3…
10-26 05:25:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	94¢	$88	0x45a3c6…
10-26 04:04:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xf5e337…
10-26 03:56:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x533950…
10-26 03:30:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe6b4b6…
10-26 03:02:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd3a5f9…
10-26 03:01:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xb9773f…
10-26 02:46:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xcf19a2…
10-26 02:25:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xff4e04…
10-26 01:43:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa1b978…
10-26 01:43:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x9d2b90…
10-26 01:43:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x3f35d5…
10-26 01:30:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb3e0db…
10-26 00:42:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x3630e8…
10-22 13:15:27	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	123	44¢	$54	0x60961c…
10-22 13:13:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	123	45¢	$55	0x59389d…
10-22 06:53:08	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x6f269b…
10-15 06:18:58	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0x6ffb63…
10-14 14:51:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	245	88¢	$216	0xb7a888…
10-10 00:05:14	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	232	57¢	$133	0xbee276…
10-09 22:57:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	319	91¢	$290	0x59e50f…
10-09 22:53:58	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	215	91¢	$196	0xc3df92…
10-09 19:49:29	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x0fe7f6…
10-09 17:26:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xea006b…
10-09 17:26:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe23d26…
10-09 17:26:13	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xaeb141…
10-09 17:22:47	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	61¢	$45	0xe44655…
10-09 16:48:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	61¢	$38	0xc29b1d…
10-09 16:48:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	61¢	$109	0xd07b60…
10-09 16:44:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x591163…
10-09 05:42:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xe7bcab…