Medium-Eardrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$340

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

2,977

Trades

5,484

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-14 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$345

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Other

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$1	98¢	$0	-$1	05-10 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	05-10 16:29
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	4	$99	55	55	+0	open	—	05-10 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:00 UTC	5	$77	179	1	+178	Down	+$102	06-27 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 14:15 UTC	2	$74	107	0	+107	Down	+$33	06-27 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 09:15 UTC	5	$58	78	0	+78	Down	+$20	06-28 09:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 10:30 UTC	5	$56	60	21	+39	Up	+$7	07-23 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 14:45 UTC	1	$55	69	0	+69	Down	+$14	06-27 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 14:30 UTC	3	$53	92	45	+47	Up	-$31	06-27 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	13	$50	71	10	+62	Down	+$25	06-25 22:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	05-10 16:29
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	05-10 16:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 23:15 UTC	2	$47	68	0	+68	Up	+$21	07-23 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 00:00 UTC	2	$46	30	30	+0	Up	+$11	07-31 00:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:45 UTC	3	$46	56	0	+56	Up	+$10	07-25 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 10:30 UTC	3	$45	51	0	+51	Up	+$6	07-23 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 00:00 UTC	29	$44	58	0	+58	Down	+$14	06-21 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 23:45 UTC	11	$41	82	0	+82	Up	+$40	07-21 23:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 10:00 UTC	11	$41	78	0	+78	Up	-$41	06-28 10:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 05:30 UTC	3	$39	65	1	+64	Up	+$26	07-23 05:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 22:45 UTC	28	$39	65	0	+65	Up	+$26	06-20 22:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 02:45 UTC	3	$39	48	0	+48	Up	+$9	07-23 02:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 20:00 UTC	3	$39	42	0	+42	Down	+$3	07-21 20:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:15 UTC	3	$39	63	0	+63	Down	-$39	07-23 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC	20	$38	73	0	+73	Down	+$36	06-25 23:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 13:00 UTC	14	$38	66	7	+59	Down	+$29	06-26 13:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 02:00 UTC	3	$38	63	0	+63	Down	-$38	07-25 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 00:45 UTC	29	$38	71	0	+71	Up	-$38	06-21 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 02:00 UTC	31	$37	68	0	+68	Up	-$37	06-21 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 09:00 UTC	2	$37	62	0	+62	Down	+$24	06-28 09:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	26	$36	54	0	+54	Down	-$36	06-21 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 09:57:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x20384d…
10-14 09:44:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xfe6479…
10-14 08:58:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x2b5e99…
10-14 08:57:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2f5061…
10-14 07:36:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x092e52…
10-14 06:01:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$4	0xb6ac64…
10-14 02:43:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xf6fce2…
10-14 01:57:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb0ad18…
10-14 01:57:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb4e08c…
10-13 20:33:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x89ba72…
10-13 18:19:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x668100…
10-13 18:19:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x047111…
10-13 10:07:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x44a25b…
10-13 10:07:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x24dc6d…
10-12 20:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6439fb…
10-12 19:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x28472a…
10-10 17:27:30	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb55bd8…
10-10 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xec8602…
10-10 01:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x1aec43…
10-10 00:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdc1e52…
10-09 23:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x583915…
10-09 23:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x553293…
10-09 23:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5c52c9…
10-09 23:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x65bbbc…
10-09 21:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x03ef98…
10-09 21:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbbd87e…
10-09 21:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3c8f67…
10-09 18:25:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x3b4415…
10-09 11:12:22	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x4abac7…
10-09 07:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7c4451…
10-09 05:01:59	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x112058…
10-07 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe81b62…
10-06 23:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf87c79…
10-06 23:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0937d6…
10-06 22:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xca4c28…
10-06 22:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xcae01c…
10-06 06:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x9a9098…
10-06 06:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x25b839…
10-06 06:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x6db13f…
10-06 05:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x60d836…
10-06 05:33:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbc95b3…
10-06 05:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x1aa7b8…
10-06 04:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0xeea248…
10-06 04:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xbca41d…
10-06 04:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x863f95…
10-06 04:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xd9cb4a…
10-06 00:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xc26db3…
10-06 00:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x2fbd2a…
10-06 00:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x61420e…
10-06 00:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x96777c…
10-06 00:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x432b73…
10-06 00:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xbf2bd3…
10-06 00:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x7a71a1…
10-05 23:32:37	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb1004a…
10-05 23:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x8cc559…
10-05 23:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xbf3164…
10-05 23:18:13	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x649a11…
10-05 23:17:14	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xfcd376…
10-05 23:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xec1b34…
10-05 23:03:02	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x4b6956…
10-05 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xda5068…
10-05 23:01:20	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc06289…
10-05 22:50:26	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x237aa9…
10-05 22:35:11	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x57e446…
10-05 22:32:59	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6357d2…
10-05 22:17:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x55980b…
10-05 22:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b741b…
10-05 22:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x5e6c11…
10-05 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb8c117…
10-05 21:02:01	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x214b21…
10-05 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x72e2d3…
10-05 20:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9af3b5…
10-05 19:49:11	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x53a522…
10-05 19:47:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xf5e277…
10-05 19:36:17	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x21333a…
10-05 19:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x0bf2e4…
10-05 19:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x1025a3…
10-05 19:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x6071b5…
10-05 19:18:26	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x777f41…
10-05 19:02:38	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x9f4ca1…
10-05 18:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdb429b…
10-05 17:02:58	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x9bad3e…
10-05 16:46:53	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x19fa66…
10-05 16:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xb3f2c5…
10-05 16:34:23	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x12bcf2…
10-05 16:32:25	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x729a8f…
10-05 16:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xe0aa7d…
10-05 15:39:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xd7ed3e…
10-05 13:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xaa7ec1…
10-05 11:56:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x81ce4d…
10-05 08:03:13	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x8f7578…
10-05 08:02:59	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xeed1c9…
10-05 07:36:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x9fa174…
10-05 07:35:53	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xfb1ac9…
10-05 07:35:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xab5f06…
10-05 07:35:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5b6a31…
10-05 07:35:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xbebbff…
10-05 07:18:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xbad924…
10-05 07:17:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x3b2d0f…
10-05 06:20:19	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xcee36c…