Realized P&L (30d)
+$42
Unrealized P&L
+$340
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
81
81 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.63K
$3.63K lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$1.16K
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-08 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
77% 100% +$42
Other
23% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,627 $188 12¢ $324 +$136 11-07 19:37
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? Yes +577 $228 42¢ $240 +$12 11-07 21:18
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? Yes +527 $184 36¢ $187 +$3 11-07 21:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +284 -$23 62¢ $176 +$199 11-08 14:02
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027? Yes +404 $36 12¢ $46 +$10 11-04 12:04
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,215 $36 4¢ $46 +$10 11-08 14:00
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +1,631 $48 2¢ $40 -$8 11-07 19:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +417 $46 10¢ $40 -$6 11-08 12:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +408 $35 7¢ $30 -$5 11-08 17:54
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? Yes +121 $7 9¢ $11 +$5 11-05 16:54
Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes +2,287 $13 0¢ $8 -$5 11-02 19:09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +182 $9 3¢ $5 -$4 11-02 21:28
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,260 $5 0¢ $2 -$3 11-04 21:46
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +562 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-02 18:29
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 10-30 19:01
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? Yes +188 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 17:24