Klutzy-Waistband — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-05 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$42

Other

44% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+13	$9	76¢	$10	+$1	05-28 09:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$224	2,004	1,620	+384	open	—	05-14 15:59
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$205	211	211	+0	open	—	01-14 20:14
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	4	$188	669	669	+0	open	—	02-10 19:45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$170	389	389	+0	open	—	02-17 15:24
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$150	293	0	+293	open	—	02-19 10:31
will keir starmer say denmark or greenland during the next prime ministers questions 834	2	$129	69	69	+0	open	—	01-21 13:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$125	176	105	+70	open	—	02-18 18:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$113	124	124	+0	open	—	02-18 18:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	03-03 06:16
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 16:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$98	154	79	+75	Yes	+$42	02-19 12:15
rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 eng	4	$94	134	0	+134	open	—	03-05 19:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	03-03 06:23
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	1	$79	138	0	+138	open	—	02-28 16:59
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$77	143	0	+143	open	—	01-14 20:15
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$77	86	0	+86	open	—	01-23 22:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$75	361	361	+0	open	—	01-31 10:45
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$74	51	51	+0	open	—	02-14 16:57
will england win the 2026 six nations championship	3	$68	326	326	+0	open	—	03-07 06:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$68	234	234	+0	open	—	05-08 09:59
rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 eng	1	$67	126	0	+126	open	—	02-14 17:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$61	118	118	+0	open	—	03-03 07:02
will ireland win the 2026 six nations championship	1	$56	226	0	+226	open	—	03-14 16:03
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$52	205	205	+0	open	—	01-31 10:46
rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 sco	1	$51	139	0	+139	open	—	02-14 17:27
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$50	120	120	+0	open	—	02-09 18:32
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the united kingdom by feburary 1	2	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	01-22 18:14
rusixnat eng ire 2026 02 21 eng	1	$48	61	0	+61	open	—	02-19 10:35
epl bur wes 2026 02 07 wes	1	$48	110	0	+110	open	—	02-07 12:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$47	113	113	+0	open	—	03-23 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:02:40	Spread: England (-2.5)	England	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xb83f0a…
05-28 09:14:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xa56166…
05-28 09:11:01	Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayo	Johannus Monday	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc7af86…
05-28 09:10:38	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x48b64e…
05-28 09:10:30	Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x939d9a…
05-28 09:09:25	Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8f76ca…
05-28 09:07:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$9	0x80a6df…
05-26 13:17:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x677c7c…
05-26 13:15:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf3a36b…
05-26 10:03:41	Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady	Liam Broady	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x5d5b33…
05-26 10:03:09	Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo	Cameron Norrie	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe2f9dd…
05-24 16:06:06	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	232	3¢	$6	0x12166f…
05-19 08:17:08	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xba98fd…
05-14 16:00:36	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x035c42…
05-14 15:59:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	442	3¢	$13	0x0ec27c…
05-14 14:02:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	814	5¢	$39	0x420e57…
05-14 10:01:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0x6c569c…
05-14 07:07:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x0fc666…
05-14 05:53:52	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1d4e7e…
05-14 05:53:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0x5954d5…
05-13 19:37:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	448	4¢	$20	0x64227d…
05-13 12:53:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	436	7¢	$29	0x1a1b18…
05-13 11:05:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	7¢	$29	0xcbf51c…
05-12 17:26:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	9¢	$32	0xc73b84…
05-12 17:25:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	29¢	$8	0xe90f56…
05-12 12:05:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	13¢	$25	0xc22659…
05-12 12:05:36	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xeba735…
05-12 11:36:06	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xf55a4b…
05-12 09:46:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	11¢	$10	0xd00655…
05-12 07:59:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x065e8b…
05-12 07:17:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x545639…
05-08 10:04:37	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	252	1¢	$3	0xba2b5a…
05-08 09:59:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	234	0¢	$0	0xa53831…
05-06 09:58:18	Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$5	0x68fbb2…
05-06 09:57:30	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	152	13¢	$20	0x43a7f6…
04-27 15:27:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	79	50¢	$39	0x3826fa…
04-27 15:26:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xdac3d1…
04-20 17:43:16	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 spread away 1pt5	West Ham United FC	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x093bc6…
04-17 19:45:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x4fd48e…
04-14 15:01:09	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 wes	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xd8405f…
03-26 19:04:19	uef cze ire 2026 03 26 ire	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xe0ed4c…
03-23 12:03:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	113	18¢	$20	0xf8fae3…
03-22 10:19:45	epl ast wes 2026 03 22 wes	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x276cab…
03-20 11:24:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	194	27¢	$52	0x19169d…
03-20 11:16:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	113	24¢	$27	0x0c18e8…
03-14 16:03:49	will ireland win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	BUY	226	25¢	$56	0x3d5ac5…
03-14 16:00:21	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x6f228a…
03-07 06:26:13	will england win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	SELL	326	0¢	$0	0x33664a…
03-06 11:08:09	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	BUY	42	75¢	$32	0x9f968a…
03-06 11:06:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6ff763…
03-05 19:28:23	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 eng	Yes	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x056738…
03-05 19:12:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x693b56…
03-03 18:34:41	epl wol liv 2026 03 03 liv	Yes	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x570fe3…
03-03 14:07:47	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 eng	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa9271b…
03-03 13:14:31	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 eng	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6da93a…
03-03 07:30:03	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x893a61…
03-03 07:02:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	118	35¢	$41	0xcc65f9…
03-03 06:27:47	rusixnat ita eng 2026 03 07 eng	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xee2022…
03-03 06:26:55	epl mac not 2026 03 04 spread home 1pt5	Manchester City FC	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xf5089f…
03-03 06:25:35	epl ful wes 2026 03 04 wes	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x8a0f36…
03-03 06:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xe9c881…
03-03 06:23:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x413987…
03-03 06:16:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x40642d…
02-28 16:59:03	epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	Yes	BUY	138	57¢	$79	0x4f069f…
02-28 16:56:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x7158d8…
02-28 16:54:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x0fa978…
02-19 12:15:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xb0eec5…
02-19 10:35:24	rusixnat eng ire 2026 02 21 eng	Yes	BUY	61	80¢	$48	0x6484dd…
02-19 10:34:34	epl wes bou 2026 02 21 wes	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x6ada29…
02-19 10:33:42	will england win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	BUY	146	10¢	$15	0xf03438…
02-19 10:31:14	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	51¢	$150	0x4c8a15…
02-19 10:29:04	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x721f97…
02-18 18:31:46	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 ars	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xdd819f…
02-18 18:30:02	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x059212…
02-18 18:29:16	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x480b49…
02-18 18:27:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x4343e7…
02-17 15:24:23	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	389	18¢	$70	0x5f27d7…
02-17 10:23:27	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x02eaa7…
02-17 10:23:07	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	38¢	$40	0xfd60ef…
02-14 17:27:27	rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 sco	No	BUY	139	37¢	$51	0xec1dad…
02-14 17:00:53	rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 eng	Yes	BUY	126	53¢	$67	0xef514e…
02-14 16:57:43	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	51	68¢	$34	0x954f47…
02-14 16:57:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	41¢	$33	0xc3bde9…
02-12 18:42:15	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2185c5…
02-12 18:32:13	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xd66629…
02-12 18:32:03	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xae9ac0…
02-12 18:29:51	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x65e1e9…
02-12 09:52:37	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	Yes	BUY	38	59¢	$23	0xb51c44…
02-11 18:17:47	epl sun liv 2026 02 11 liv	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x42e81a…
02-11 09:33:37	epl sun liv 2026 02 11 liv	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6a8837…
02-11 09:32:59	epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xed221a…
02-10 19:47:11	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 wes	Yes	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0xac2170…
02-10 19:45:23	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	669	8¢	$54	0xee6838…
02-09 20:42:21	will england win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	BUY	180	29¢	$52	0x9fda77…
02-09 18:32:39	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0xf8239c…
02-09 09:22:43	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	21¢	$23	0xdbc66d…
02-09 09:21:29	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x19b79b…
02-07 12:51:13	epl bur wes 2026 02 07 wes	Yes	BUY	110	44¢	$48	0x53b7ee…
02-05 17:26:15	rusixnat fra ire 2026 02 05 ire	Yes	BUY	190	17¢	$32	0xc202e7…
02-04 19:45:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x9fb312…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	44	$532.2K	8,574	06-09 06:03
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	43	$105.5K	698	06-07 21:33
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	41	$247.0K	20,228	05-31 23:02
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	41	$83.5K	850	06-03 10:57
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	37	$153.7K	11,476	06-06 21:48
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	37	$138.3K	11,518	05-31 21:50
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	34	$12.2M	20,817	06-08 23:09
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	33	$15.3K	1,116	06-06 02:51