Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
25.2%
Resolved
22
Trades
602
lifetime
Volume
$31.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$30.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
39% — —
Other
36% 0% -$7
Sports
23% 52% +$37
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +4,858 $4,710 98¢ $4.8K +$68 10-27 04:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,833 $3,692 96¢ $3.7K -$2 10-28 03:50
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,120 $3,021 99¢ $3.1K +$72 09-09 00:15
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,867 $2,763 96¢ $2.7K -$21 10-27 14:32
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,146 $3,022 86¢ $2.7K -$331 09-09 07:05
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,378 $2,197 94¢ $2.2K +$50 09-09 01:24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,003 $1,942 96¢ $1.9K -$23 09-04 18:25
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,357 $1,331 85¢ $1.2K -$176 08-28 06:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,023 $992 97¢ $992 +$0 10-25 16:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,192 $962 82¢ $975 +$13 10-28 17:44
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +908 $808 88¢ $804 -$5 10-27 19:15
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +802 $755 97¢ $782 +$26 09-03 20:59
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +696 $655 94¢ $654 $0 10-26 16:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +675 $646 97¢ $653 +$8 09-07 02:35
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,146 $129 14¢ $455 +$325 09-07 23:19
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +464 $451 97¢ $450 -$1 08-27 06:10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +462 $448 97¢ $448 -$1 09-09 04:11
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +247 $242 99¢ $243 +$1 09-04 07:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,230 $248 18¢ $224 -$24 10-27 18:02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,357 $31 15¢ $201 +$171 08-28 15:36
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +174 $168 97¢ $168 $0 10-23 01:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,280 $177 4¢ $160 -$17 10-28 16:12
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,194 $129 12¢ $137 +$8 10-28 18:06
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,378 $176 6¢ $131 -$45 09-06 19:19
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,352 $83 4¢ $102 +$20 10-27 04:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +5,429 $161 2¢ $90 -$72 10-27 18:28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,003 $68 4¢ $85 +$18 09-09 08:50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +1,333 $39 3¢ $41 +$2 10-28 13:11
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,120 $103 1¢ $27 -$76 09-07 21:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +675 $30 3¢ $22 -$8 09-09 09:09