Realized P&L
-$332
Unrealized P&L
-$867
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
178
Trades
1,717
lifetime
Volume
$181.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$4.66K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-23 16:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 50% -$1,807
Other
29% 60% +$2,273
Sports
7% 8% +$235
Politics
5% 38% -$1,033
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -1,200 -$698 82¢ $-990 -$292 07-14 15:45
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,000 -$770 93¢ $-928 -$158 07-17 17:04
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -1,096 -$503 76¢ $-838 -$336 06-23 12:54
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -653 -$555 86¢ $-562 -$7 05-27 23:02
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -500 -$220 62¢ $-307 -$87 06-02 16:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +300 $172 97¢ $291 +$119 09-02 18:38
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -300 -$240 94¢ $-280 -$40 06-25 03:10
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +250 $165 84¢ $211 +$46 09-15 11:23
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -146 -$98 76¢ $-112 -$14 06-02 16:05
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -100 -$55 45¢ $-45 +$10 04-28 14:11
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes -1,000 $256 3¢ $-31 -$287 07-06 18:42
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -1,000 -$400 2¢ $-25 +$375 06-02 10:07
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 -$17 92¢ $-18 -$2 05-26 16:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +400 $354 3¢ $13 -$341 09-08 13:53
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -148 -$34 6¢ $-9 +$24 05-31 04:13
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -500 -$125 1¢ $-3 +$122 04-30 02:37