Realized P&L
-$103
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
19.3%
Resolved
1,097
Trades
103,650
lifetime
Volume
$2.45M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$46
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 07-02 09:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
40%
29%
-$42
Sports
31%
18%
-$25
Politics
21%
33%
-$36
Crypto
6%
57%
-$1
Tech
0%
30%
$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -23 | -$23 | 100¢ | $-23 | $0 | 04-28 22:10 | |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -23 | -$22 | 100¢ | $-23 | $0 | 04-28 22:10 | |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -0 | $0 | 100¢ | $-0 | $0 | 05-08 15:54 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | +0 | $0 | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 | 05-23 07:45 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | -0 | $0 | 99¢ | $-0 | $0 | 05-08 18:17 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | +0 | $0 | 98¢ | $0 | +$0 | 05-20 03:41 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 4,097 | $107.3K | 54,079 | 54,231 | -153 | No | -$2 | 05-13 11:51 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,243 | $93.8K | 47,552 | 47,620 | -68 | No | -$2 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,604 | $72.7K | 37,013 | 37,061 | -47 | No | -$2 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,723 | $66.4K | 34,149 | 34,149 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 2,538 | $62.4K | 31,876 | 31,876 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-28 03:45 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 1,589 | $57.2K | 28,710 | 28,710 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-11 10:09 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,463 | $54.0K | 27,528 | 27,528 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 06-16 19:37 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,880 | $49.3K | 24,753 | 24,753 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-15 14:43 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,835 | $48.6K | 24,792 | 24,792 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-26 01:48 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2,071 | $47.3K | 24,026 | 24,046 | -20 | No | $0 | 05-30 19:45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,932 | $45.5K | 22,964 | 22,964 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-16 18:26 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,969 | $45.2K | 22,801 | 22,801 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 18:34 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 638 | $44.0K | 22,286 | 22,286 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,313 | $42.2K | 21,248 | 21,278 | -31 | No | $0 | 05-02 04:26 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,531 | $41.7K | 21,176 | 21,146 | +30 | Yes | +$0 | 05-13 08:17 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,249 | $41.1K | 20,926 | 20,926 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-26 01:18 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 1,855 | $40.6K | 20,556 | 20,556 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-18 04:49 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,208 | $38.5K | 19,327 | 19,401 | -74 | No | -$1 | 04-30 22:17 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 1,182 | $36.5K | 18,622 | 18,622 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-17 13:14 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 1,349 | $34.5K | 17,402 | 17,402 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 09:07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,470 | $33.2K | 16,757 | 16,757 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-29 09:12 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,166 | $32.9K | 16,505 | 16,492 | +13 | No | -$1 | 05-03 22:47 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1,361 | $30.0K | 15,384 | 15,384 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-29 10:10 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | 1,298 | $29.9K | 15,032 | 15,032 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-15 05:55 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 845 | $29.3K | 14,714 | 14,714 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-08 08:03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 1,157 | $28.2K | 14,289 | 14,289 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 14:40 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan? | 907 | $27.4K | 13,820 | 13,820 | +0 | No | +$0 | 06-29 16:56 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,011 | $26.0K | 13,226 | 13,226 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-29 18:58 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 937 | $24.9K | 12,738 | 12,738 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 994 | $24.3K | 12,377 | 12,383 | -6 | No | +$1 | 05-16 03:13 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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