Realized P&L
-$139
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved
336
Trades
2,099
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$27
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-02 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
40% 71% -$55
Politics
40% 59% -$52
Crypto
15% 57% -$12
Sports
3% 50% -$7
Tech
2% 29% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 11-02 00:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -46 -$12 16¢ $-7 +$5 05-29 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 11-02 00:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -3 -$2 64¢ $-2 +$0 05-11 05:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $0 16¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 12:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 34¢ $0 $0 09-30 00:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 06-19 09:35
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 10-28 04:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 -$3 88¢ $0 +$3 09-03 01:52
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 05-28 08:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +0 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-02 22:24