Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.91K

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$161.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$543

Open exposure

$16.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

49% 67% +$99

Politics

45% 69% -$1,920

Sports

7% 67% -$156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+8,000	$7,968	100¢	$8.0K	+$24	10-20 10:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+8,000	$7,976	100¢	$8.0K	-$4	10-25 23:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+545	$521	99¢	$539	+$17	04-29 08:07
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1,086	$1,990	4¢	$44	-$1,946	10-19 20:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+160	$16	15¢	$25	+$9	04-28 12:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+545	$19	1¢	$6	-$13	04-28 17:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+0	-$1	19¢	$0	+$1	04-30 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$34.9K	35,000	0	+35,000	No	+$70	03-04 17:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	11	$11.0K	6,540	5,450	+1,090	open	—	04-29 08:07
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	12	$11.0K	11,070	0	+11,070	Yes	+$43	03-04 03:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	04-29 15:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	04-29 15:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	10-22 08:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	10-25 23:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	10-20 10:00
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	9	$7.9K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$94	03-04 02:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$19	04-29 17:08
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	6	$6.9K	7,177	0	+7,177	Yes	+$258	10-04 21:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$4.1K	4,500	1,500	+3,000	Yes	+$150	06-05 11:45
will donald trump attend super bowl lx	7	$4.0K	4,112	0	+4,112	No	+$84	02-08 23:04
kristi noem out by march 31	4	$3.7K	2,200	1,508	+692	Yes	+$3	03-05 19:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$3.3K	4,442	3,356	+1,086	open	—	10-19 20:48
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	41	$3.0K	3,338	1,338	+2,000	Yes	+$753	05-06 23:13
will kamala harris announce presidential run by december 31	1	$2.9K	2,912	0	+2,912	No	+$3	01-01 06:32
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	29	$2.4K	5,687	2,313	+3,374	No	+$16	04-28 22:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$2.4K	6,666	2,222	+4,444	No	$0	04-30 16:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$2.4K	6,219	0	+6,219	No	-$2,354	05-13 18:11
will the team that wins the 2025 26 super bowl be from new yorknew jersey	4	$1.9K	1,952	0	+1,952	No	+$29	01-18 01:18
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$10	04-28 19:11
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$990	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$10	04-29 05:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$937	1,894	0	+1,894	Yes	+$9	04-28 16:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	41	$879	2,318	2,318	+0	open	—	04-30 02:49
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$848	2,356	0	+2,356	No	-$642	04-28 17:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8	$578	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-13 22:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	16	$505	4,207	4,207	+0	Yes	$0	04-29 15:34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$400	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-13 21:58
will tom brady attend super bowl lx	3	$385	389	0	+389	Yes	+$3	02-09 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:12:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,976	0x76614c…
10-22 08:32:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x9caa4c…
10-20 10:00:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,259	100¢	$4,242	0x2ef42f…
10-20 09:50:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x9d5b19…
10-20 09:10:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x85d799…
10-20 09:06:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,190	100¢	$1,185	0x391649…
10-20 08:58:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x17b430…
10-20 07:01:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfff8af…
10-20 05:08:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x1782a5…
10-20 04:06:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b2c38…
10-20 03:39:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x36ac71…
10-20 03:18:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3bf293…
10-20 01:49:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,686	100¢	$1,679	0xe05b22…
10-19 20:48:38	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,356	3¢	$42	0x2b6f44…
10-04 21:10:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xf3e011…
10-04 21:10:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0xd1e9d1…
10-04 21:10:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xce880d…
10-04 21:10:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	407	85¢	$347	0x1933af…
10-04 16:33:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5,300	97¢	$5,156	0xdf4252…
10-04 16:32:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	1,377	97¢	$1,336	0x28325d…
06-16 04:02:21	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	31¢	$614	0xdfc748…
06-05 11:45:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,500	93¢	$1,395	0xb0c358…
05-19 01:36:56	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x99e582…
05-19 01:35:46	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x24e3f8…
05-13 22:15:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,379	7¢	$99	0x0f51bd…
05-13 21:58:29	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$200	0x7956e7…
05-13 18:11:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	37¢	$740	0x46561e…
05-12 23:37:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,750	7¢	$126	0xecdf5f…
05-12 14:12:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	7¢	$6	0x049971…
05-12 13:52:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x57334d…
05-12 13:44:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	7¢	$6	0x5a2064…
05-12 13:43:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	699	7¢	$50	0x7d7c95…
05-06 23:13:11	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0x3fef7c…
04-30 16:02:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,056	4¢	$76	0xcf9b22…
04-30 06:19:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$3	0x31a4b9…
04-30 06:19:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x43c50f…
04-30 06:16:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$2	0x3ac34d…
04-30 02:49:10	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	94	19¢	$18	0x794586…
04-30 02:08:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x1a7156…
04-30 01:43:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	400	19¢	$76	0xf3d3a8…
04-30 01:42:48	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	297	19¢	$56	0x90179e…
04-30 01:31:14	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x6e593a…
04-30 01:16:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xd5a813…
04-30 01:14:28	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x551a9f…
04-30 01:01:44	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xc9cd2d…
04-30 00:46:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	132	19¢	$25	0x0814d2…
04-30 00:44:02	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb08a5c…
04-30 00:11:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0xa38845…
04-29 23:58:20	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xf3d632…
04-29 23:41:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	79	19¢	$15	0xe7c2e8…
04-29 23:24:04	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0x176d36…
04-29 22:37:02	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x8d6356…
04-29 22:17:42	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0x8a4e52…
04-29 22:14:16	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	51	65¢	$33	0x29cd26…
04-29 22:00:06	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	102	19¢	$19	0xa55a82…
04-29 22:00:04	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0xf2d49c…
04-29 21:55:42	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x784183…
04-29 21:43:18	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa37217…
04-29 21:35:54	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	255	19¢	$48	0x61ebf4…
04-29 21:35:40	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x252a88…
04-29 21:26:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x352027…
04-29 20:54:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x9309cc…
04-29 20:44:52	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	65¢	$325	0x66e65c…
04-29 20:30:38	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xd7fba8…
04-29 20:23:44	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	65¢	$325	0x92b748…
04-29 20:00:26	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	225	65¢	$146	0xbec90c…
04-29 19:20:56	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	211	19¢	$40	0xb516bb…
04-29 17:42:50	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	313	19¢	$59	0x6edce8…
04-29 17:08:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0xa277d4…
04-29 17:08:30	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xf95cb5…
04-29 16:49:24	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	113	6¢	$7	0xa00ee2…
04-29 15:51:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x2ba037…
04-29 15:34:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4,207	6¢	$252	0xf415c0…
04-29 15:13:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x0b7e28…
04-29 15:12:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x498924…
04-29 15:03:56	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x560a3f…
04-29 14:10:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	442	19¢	$84	0x779490…
04-29 13:56:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,031	19¢	$195	0x37d971…
04-29 10:45:54	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	555	6¢	$33	0x63c7ae…
04-29 08:07:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5,450	96¢	$5,254	0xd2c238…
04-29 06:38:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	84¢	$1,260	0x8ea9c5…
04-29 05:40:26	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xef1f12…
04-29 05:25:48	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	131	51¢	$67	0x308e02…
04-29 05:21:42	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x380518…
04-29 05:17:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x36b587…
04-29 05:07:16	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	145	51¢	$74	0xad9681…
04-29 05:06:44	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	536	51¢	$273	0xcefa15…
04-29 05:06:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	115	51¢	$59	0xcc3a6b…
04-29 03:59:24	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x78fe8b…
04-29 03:33:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x362af5…
04-29 03:05:42	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x3b12a1…
04-29 02:52:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x204da3…
04-29 02:52:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x073167…
04-29 02:52:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x02c249…
04-29 02:51:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xf82f89…
04-29 02:51:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xebb89a…
04-29 02:51:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	64¢	$17	0xe4dd8d…
04-29 02:51:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xca1622…
04-29 02:51:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x750f56…
04-29 02:51:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0x74254f…