(anonymous) 0x9953a6…d151f6 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$64
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved (7d)
17
Trades (7d)
44
3,208 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$65
$6.72K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$180
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 11-07 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Crypto
63% 52% -$86
Other
25% 53% +$15
Tech
7% 51% +$47
Politics
4% 52% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +73 -$15 64¢ $47 +$62 10-23 09:19
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +17 $1 56¢ $9 +$8 11-03 12:17
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? No +11 $8 76¢ $8 +$0 11-05 08:08
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +47 $7 16¢ $8 +$1 10-30 15:32
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? No +10 $7 64¢ $6 -$1 09-06 12:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +11 $4 57¢ $6 +$2 11-07 15:32
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$0 09-08 21:32
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +20 $7 29¢ $6 -$1 11-06 23:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +25 $7 22¢ $6 -$1 11-04 16:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29 $3 18¢ $5 +$2 08-14 06:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 11-05 00:35
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-30 07:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +10 $6 49¢ $5 -$1 11-04 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 09-12 20:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-06 10:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 09-12 04:14
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +5 $2 89¢ $4 +$2 10-15 00:25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 10-13 16:10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 10-13 16:09
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? Yes +10 $6 39¢ $4 -$2 10-25 16:55
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +19 $7 19¢ $4 -$3 10-22 21:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $4 71¢ $4 -$1 11-03 07:03
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +5 $3 69¢ $3 +$1 11-07 02:53
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 10-05 00:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +42 $8 7¢ $3 -$5 10-24 11:45
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +6 $2 44¢ $3 +$1 09-16 01:24
will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026 Yes +25 $6 10¢ $2 -$3 09-10 08:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +24 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 08-16 00:31
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 34¢ $2 -$2 09-06 20:56
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-07 23:59