Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.49K

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$527.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.71K

Open exposure

$23.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-27 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

47% 96% +$1,256

Politics

43% 100% +$913

Crypto

8% 100% +$252

Tech

2% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+29,917	$21,300	80¢	$23.8K	+$2,485	10-27 08:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+23	$14	84¢	$19	+$6	06-30 05:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$1	08-08 14:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	25	$42.0K	44,083	14,165	+29,917	open	—	10-27 08:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$41.4K	27,890	13,935	+13,955	No	+$209	09-09 08:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$26.1K	13,319	13,319	+0	Yes	+$266	06-16 03:25
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	4	$19.1K	14,109	5,068	+9,041	No	+$65	01-28 23:27
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	21	$15.6K	7,816	7,916	-100	No	+$45	04-29 18:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$14.2K	14,254	0	+14,254	Yes	+$14	10-26 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	1	$14.1K	14,096	0	+14,096	Up	+$14	10-06 22:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$14.1K	14,082	0	+14,082	No	+$14	10-02 16:09
Trump out as President by September 30?	3	$14.0K	14,063	0	+14,063	No	+$113	09-20 02:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$13.7K	13,739	0	+13,739	No	+$27	08-13 05:11
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$13.6K	13,704	0	+13,704	No	+$82	08-01 04:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$13.5K	13,622	0	+13,622	No	+$82	07-29 16:21
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$13.5K	13,532	0	+13,532	Yes	+$41	07-21 22:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$13.2K	13,469	0	+13,469	Yes	+$283	06-16 04:19
new stranger things episode released by march 31 299	24	$12.9K	12,667	292	+12,374	No	+$37	03-26 01:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$12.8K	12,901	0	+12,901	No	+$103	06-02 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$12.8K	12,802	0	+12,802	No	+$13	05-30 01:00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$12.6K	12,600	0	+12,600	Yes	+$38	05-02 16:46
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$12.5K	12,479	0	+12,479	Yes	+$25	04-16 21:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$12.4K	12,449	0	+12,449	Yes	+$25	04-09 00:49
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$12.4K	12,424	0	+12,424	Yes	+$25	04-07 02:26
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$12.4K	12,399	0	+12,399	No	+$25	04-01 18:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	1	$12.3K	12,267	0	+12,267	Yes	+$12	03-12 00:52
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	1	$12.2K	12,236	0	+12,236	Yes	+$12	03-04 20:54
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$12.2K	12,224	0	+12,224	No	+$12	03-04 18:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$12.2K	12,212	0	+12,212	Yes	+$12	03-01 11:59
us strikes iraq by march 7	6	$12.1K	12,139	0	+12,139	Yes	+$12	03-09 08:02
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	2	$12.1K	12,200	0	+12,200	No	+$78	02-27 12:47
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	2	$12.1K	12,117	0	+12,117	Yes	+$24	02-07 11:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$12.1K	12,088	0	+12,088	Yes	+$21	02-01 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:20:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	582	72¢	$419	0x76fb5a…
10-27 08:20:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaa6899…
10-27 08:19:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,314	72¢	$2,386	0xb7d1a2…
10-27 08:19:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	714	72¢	$514	0x665647…
10-27 08:19:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	186	72¢	$134	0x05a87c…
10-27 08:19:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xff6955…
10-27 08:18:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xba42f0…
10-27 08:16:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe01e18…
10-27 08:16:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf613c5…
10-27 08:15:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,000	72¢	$1,440	0x8876b5…
10-27 08:15:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,786	72¢	$1,286	0x315181…
10-27 08:15:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5,735	72¢	$4,129	0xa31516…
10-27 06:47:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0xe4f442…
10-27 06:47:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	689	73¢	$503	0x5322b0…
10-27 06:35:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	13,464	73¢	$9,829	0x765297…
10-26 23:43:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	366	71¢	$260	0x6ad620…
10-26 23:42:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xe3dea4…
10-26 23:41:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x11455f…
10-26 23:41:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8,000	71¢	$5,680	0xdfdea2…
10-26 23:39:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x32e1c1…
10-26 23:39:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0x4477e3…
10-26 23:38:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	138	71¢	$98	0xec391c…
10-26 23:35:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	345	71¢	$245	0xc248a6…
10-26 23:34:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	957	71¢	$679	0x59160a…
10-26 19:54:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19,798	72¢	$14,255	0x2fed2e…
10-26 02:40:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	9,250	100¢	$9,240	0xfc26b7…
10-26 02:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x60c3c3…
10-26 02:32:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9a3ad…
10-22 17:00:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	811	100¢	$810	0x1a92ab…
10-22 16:58:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x43912d…
10-22 16:55:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x392a8c…
10-22 16:55:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,710	100¢	$1,706	0x03158e…
10-22 16:54:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	2,110	100¢	$2,106	0x8cb298…
10-22 16:52:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,452	99¢	$1,438	0x845f58…
10-22 16:47:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	511	99¢	$503	0x25d5a2…
10-22 16:47:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$788	0xaa7692…
10-22 16:46:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	2,238	99¢	$2,206	0x19fce5…
10-22 16:46:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcaa510…
10-22 16:46:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x153ae8…
10-22 16:46:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	3,558	98¢	$3,500	0x531496…
10-06 22:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	14,096	100¢	$14,082	0x118978…
10-02 16:09:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	14,077	100¢	$14,063	0x85c521…
10-02 16:09:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf809cd…
09-20 02:15:49	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	6,036	99¢	$5,987	0xc3c69a…
09-17 13:19:51	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0569a1…
09-17 12:55:04	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	8,017	99¢	$7,953	0xc67ec2…
09-09 08:28:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x213576…
08-29 08:57:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13,947	99¢	$13,835	0xffe330…
08-28 16:08:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13,935	99¢	$13,837	0xb5dcbe…
08-22 11:15:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d328e…
08-20 15:19:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13,925	99¢	$13,730	0xbe9fa7…
08-13 05:11:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	13,739	100¢	$13,711	0x411b65…
08-08 14:50:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x9f739b…
08-01 04:33:21	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	8,335	99¢	$8,285	0x3a8925…
08-01 01:53:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5,370	99¢	$5,338	0xddbda3…
07-29 16:21:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d7801…
07-27 23:51:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13,617	99¢	$13,535	0x1c2e51…
07-21 22:08:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,905	100¢	$3,893	0x96bbdd…
07-21 22:07:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0x8b4f2f…
07-21 22:06:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4,333	100¢	$4,320	0x064f76…
07-21 22:05:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	720	100¢	$718	0x28852f…
07-21 22:02:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,907	100¢	$3,895	0xba00f5…
06-30 05:30:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x9af887…
06-26 20:59:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0xf49056…
06-16 04:19:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9,105	98¢	$8,914	0x1d7c38…
06-16 04:18:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,100	98¢	$2,056	0xd53872…
06-16 04:18:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,200	98¢	$2,154	0x5a68ca…
06-16 04:17:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x1215a4…
06-16 04:17:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x674f97…
06-16 04:17:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfdadec…
06-16 03:25:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,319	99¢	$13,185	0xa3c3bc…
06-15 18:23:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,732	97¢	$4,590	0xffed61…
06-15 18:19:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	97¢	$389	0x6f4ea7…
06-15 18:17:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,880	97¢	$2,794	0x40e65a…
06-15 18:12:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,804	97¢	$1,750	0xc18a56…
06-15 18:09:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xdce760…
06-15 18:08:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,489	97¢	$3,385	0xbdd8e3…
06-02 15:55:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,901	99¢	$12,798	0xbc8902…
05-30 01:00:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	12,802	100¢	$12,789	0xaa676f…
05-15 19:31:54	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,415	98¢	$2,374	0xc51e6b…
05-15 19:31:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0x73c6d4…
05-15 18:49:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb45a59…
05-15 17:12:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,984	100¢	$1,982	0x1b8642…
05-15 17:01:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,809	99¢	$2,781	0x5e0ae4…
05-14 04:06:16	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2,082	99¢	$2,068	0x7024ed…
05-14 03:20:43	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	458	99¢	$455	0x8700ad…
05-14 03:20:03	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x5737e5…
05-14 03:19:52	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xf4272e…
05-14 03:19:52	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa3bca5…
05-14 03:19:52	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x90a07c…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xeb9948…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd1dad6…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc5bd3a…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb38aaa…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xadc43c…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x8d11e3…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x8405b9…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x66e9c5…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x64322a…
05-14 03:19:50	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4af461…