Urban-Publisher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

605

lifetime

Volume

$60.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-13 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 0% $-4

Other

25% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-72

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$4.8K	2,536	2,434	+102	open	—	04-19 21:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.4K	2,438	0	+2,438	open	—	04-09 16:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	13	$2.4K	3,055	3,055	+0	open	—	07-30 12:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.8K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	01-21 21:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	07-14 04:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	8	$1.7K	1,363	600	+763	open	—	06-19 23:28
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-03 07:45
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$1.6K	1,982	1,647	+334	open	—	07-09 22:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.5K	2,815	503	+2,312	open	—	05-23 18:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$1.4K	1,150	250	+900	open	—	04-21 23:52
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$1.3K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	03-05 01:59
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-18 06:15
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.2K	731	540	+191	open	—	02-02 21:25
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	7	$1.0K	1,420	700	+720	open	—	01-30 02:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	4	$900	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-24 19:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$877	900	0	+900	open	—	04-08 03:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$834	800	800	+0	open	—	02-28 06:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$804	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	04-01 03:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	3	$770	784	0	+784	open	—	06-21 21:54
will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	5	$767	496	496	+0	open	—	02-18 00:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$753	689	65	+624	open	—	04-29 01:28
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	5	$711	544	544	+0	open	—	07-06 21:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$707	531	200	+331	open	—	03-02 21:14
hillary clinton charged by march 31	6	$700	372	372	+0	open	—	01-24 22:32
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$685	570	427	+142	open	—	04-20 13:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$660	978	0	+978	open	—	06-25 13:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$620	638	0	+638	open	—	03-01 00:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$617	1,348	0	+1,348	open	—	03-31 16:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-24 17:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$569	779	779	+0	open	—	01-29 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 23:30:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x10ef26…
08-12 22:05:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1447b4…
08-12 22:04:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2dd469…
08-12 21:51:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x6a2457…
08-06 18:37:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	750	26¢	$195	0xffaabd…
08-06 14:33:32	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	237	33¢	$78	0x457a18…
08-02 21:50:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	109	14¢	$15	0x64aec2…
07-31 21:19:56	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,294	12¢	$155	0xfcbc14…
07-31 17:54:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x97ab7d…
07-30 13:15:24	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9f1f79…
07-30 13:14:50	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xb25f77…
07-30 13:08:36	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xa2931c…
07-30 12:14:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	93	75¢	$70	0xdf2843…
07-30 12:14:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	150	75¢	$112	0x2329ba…
07-30 12:11:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xb19549…
07-30 12:11:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x7274d8…
07-30 12:09:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	547	75¢	$410	0x7e5db7…
07-30 01:53:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x0fe6ff…
07-29 23:52:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	83	50¢	$42	0x8ba649…
07-29 23:37:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	117	50¢	$58	0x212605…
07-29 22:59:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	217	51¢	$111	0x70b4a8…
07-29 22:34:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	217	50¢	$108	0x2ec629…
07-29 18:12:21	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x75fff0…
07-29 18:08:32	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x3f84a6…
07-29 18:06:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	302	32¢	$97	0x512396…
07-29 18:06:18	will warsh say dissent during july press conference 20260720204109057 245	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6056e4…
07-29 18:05:27	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xef3cda…
07-28 22:35:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xeaa176…
07-28 22:33:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x90f19a…
07-28 22:01:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0x91841a…
07-28 21:56:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x8c7158…
07-28 21:51:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xfa20aa…
07-28 18:03:55	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	No	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x5b7552…
07-28 18:02:58	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5bb802…
07-28 18:02:52	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	36	79¢	$28	0xaafea6…
07-28 18:02:07	will the earnings call not air 20260727154558558	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xefb0ed…
07-28 17:43:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	269	62¢	$167	0xed8706…
07-28 17:42:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	443	62¢	$275	0x60e363…
07-28 17:40:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0x4b73b5…
07-28 15:36:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x41efb1…
07-28 15:32:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x533a56…
07-28 15:32:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xebae32…
07-28 15:32:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x304726…
07-28 15:31:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x273667…
07-27 22:06:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0xab6f67…
07-27 21:02:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	240	52¢	$125	0x3562ea…
07-27 20:17:21	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1a27d5…
07-24 19:50:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	998	40¢	$399	0xa2f6bd…
07-24 19:20:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x6730f9…
07-23 17:50:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc8b7ef…
07-18 21:49:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xff3ab2…
07-17 22:25:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	409	67¢	$274	0x20213c…
07-17 16:02:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	23¢	$230	0x6e2a99…
07-17 02:11:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xc81010…
07-16 20:35:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	23¢	$13	0x251754…
07-16 20:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x38ec1a…
07-16 20:34:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	23¢	$21	0x15da6b…
07-16 20:34:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	907	23¢	$209	0xbc0f31…
07-15 22:19:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x10869a…
07-15 22:14:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	213	23¢	$49	0x7fc08c…
07-15 22:00:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd3771c…
07-15 21:41:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8b1c30…
07-15 21:36:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	390	10¢	$39	0x997c41…
07-15 21:20:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x43ffe2…
07-15 21:11:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0xeaff02…
07-15 21:10:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	205	50¢	$102	0x7defe8…
07-15 21:10:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	795	50¢	$398	0x4289c7…
07-14 18:38:59	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	Yes	BUY	334	100¢	$334	0xb60bc0…
07-14 18:38:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x3b9752…
07-14 18:29:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x55caf9…
07-14 04:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	900	100¢	$897	0x53e458…
07-13 23:14:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	110	26¢	$29	0x1b5edb…
07-13 23:13:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xee7de8…
07-13 22:55:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x6298eb…
07-13 22:52:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xec93b1…
07-13 22:39:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xcf7602…
07-13 22:39:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xd9e8fe…
07-13 19:49:32	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0x2b2a80…
07-13 19:01:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x8e9a44…
07-13 03:18:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe62dbe…
07-13 03:18:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	72	32¢	$23	0xe3b401…
07-13 03:14:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc15bd2…
07-13 03:13:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xc2e5da…
07-13 02:52:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x2f3de2…
07-13 02:41:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1a123d…
07-13 02:40:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x86fedf…
07-13 02:40:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5de555…
07-13 02:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xe5d8b1…
07-13 02:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7b4d6f…
07-13 02:31:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfda64e…
07-13 02:30:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x47c651…
07-13 02:30:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7a2842…
07-13 02:30:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x5a3e30…
07-13 02:30:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x132ee3…
07-13 02:03:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x480539…
07-13 01:39:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc2d15c…
07-13 01:38:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa25984…
07-09 22:26:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x4b2a9c…
07-09 15:38:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	358	100¢	$358	0x879358…
07-08 21:46:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	190	88¢	$167	0x6f0250…