Urban-Publisher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

558

lifetime

Volume

$56.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-24 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% 0% $-4

Other

25% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-72

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$4.8K	2,536	2,434	+102	open	—	04-19 21:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.4K	2,438	0	+2,438	open	—	04-09 16:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.8K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	01-21 21:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	07-14 04:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	8	$1.7K	1,363	600	+763	open	—	06-19 23:28
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-03 07:45
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$1.6K	1,982	1,647	+334	open	—	07-09 22:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.5K	2,815	503	+2,312	open	—	05-23 18:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$1.4K	1,150	250	+900	open	—	04-21 23:52
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$1.3K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	03-05 01:59
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-18 06:15
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.2K	731	540	+191	open	—	02-02 21:25
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	7	$1.0K	1,420	700	+720	open	—	01-30 02:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$925	2,055	2,055	+0	open	—	07-17 16:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	4	$900	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-24 19:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$877	900	0	+900	open	—	04-08 03:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$834	800	800	+0	open	—	02-28 06:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$804	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	04-01 03:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	3	$770	784	0	+784	open	—	06-21 21:54
will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	5	$767	496	496	+0	open	—	02-18 00:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$753	689	65	+624	open	—	04-29 01:28
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	5	$711	544	544	+0	open	—	07-06 21:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$707	531	200	+331	open	—	03-02 21:14
hillary clinton charged by march 31	6	$700	372	372	+0	open	—	01-24 22:32
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$685	570	427	+142	open	—	04-20 13:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$660	978	0	+978	open	—	06-25 13:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$620	638	0	+638	open	—	03-01 00:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$617	1,348	0	+1,348	open	—	03-31 16:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-24 17:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$569	779	779	+0	open	—	01-29 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 19:50:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	998	40¢	$399	0xa2f6bd…
07-24 19:20:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x6730f9…
07-23 17:50:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc8b7ef…
07-18 21:49:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xff3ab2…
07-17 22:25:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	409	67¢	$274	0x20213c…
07-17 16:02:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	23¢	$230	0x6e2a99…
07-17 02:11:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0xc81010…
07-16 20:35:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	23¢	$13	0x251754…
07-16 20:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x38ec1a…
07-16 20:34:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	93	23¢	$21	0x15da6b…
07-16 20:34:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	907	23¢	$209	0xbc0f31…
07-15 22:19:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x10869a…
07-15 22:14:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	213	23¢	$49	0x7fc08c…
07-15 22:00:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd3771c…
07-15 21:41:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8b1c30…
07-15 21:36:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	390	10¢	$39	0x997c41…
07-15 21:20:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x43ffe2…
07-15 21:11:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0xeaff02…
07-15 21:10:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	205	50¢	$102	0x7defe8…
07-15 21:10:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	795	50¢	$398	0x4289c7…
07-14 18:38:59	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 25m at auction 20260710183448002	Yes	BUY	334	100¢	$334	0xb60bc0…
07-14 18:38:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x3b9752…
07-14 18:29:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x55caf9…
07-14 04:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	900	100¢	$897	0x53e458…
07-13 23:14:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	110	26¢	$29	0x1b5edb…
07-13 23:13:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xee7de8…
07-13 22:55:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x6298eb…
07-13 22:52:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xec93b1…
07-13 22:39:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xcf7602…
07-13 22:39:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xd9e8fe…
07-13 19:49:32	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	18¢	$41	0x2b2a80…
07-13 19:01:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x8e9a44…
07-13 03:18:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe62dbe…
07-13 03:18:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	72	32¢	$23	0xe3b401…
07-13 03:14:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc15bd2…
07-13 03:13:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xc2e5da…
07-13 02:52:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x2f3de2…
07-13 02:41:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1a123d…
07-13 02:40:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x86fedf…
07-13 02:40:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5de555…
07-13 02:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xe5d8b1…
07-13 02:40:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7b4d6f…
07-13 02:31:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfda64e…
07-13 02:30:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x47c651…
07-13 02:30:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7a2842…
07-13 02:30:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x5a3e30…
07-13 02:30:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x132ee3…
07-13 02:03:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x480539…
07-13 01:39:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc2d15c…
07-13 01:38:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa25984…
07-09 22:26:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x4b2a9c…
07-09 15:38:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	358	100¢	$358	0x879358…
07-08 21:46:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	190	88¢	$167	0x6f0250…
07-08 21:23:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x06f91a…
07-07 18:45:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x8c13b0…
07-07 18:28:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x5f689e…
07-07 18:24:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xc7c511…
07-07 18:18:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	293	28¢	$82	0x1880a7…
07-07 18:18:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	243	26¢	$63	0xfdeb43…
07-07 18:18:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd7542d…
07-07 18:18:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x54e9f4…
07-07 17:09:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	739	9¢	$67	0xa169e5…
07-07 01:18:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x102238…
07-07 01:14:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x6c43f8…
07-07 01:14:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x45a8c7…
07-07 01:14:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	235	38¢	$89	0xb25b94…
07-06 21:05:38	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	544	91¢	$495	0x11a3b0…
07-06 17:45:50	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x8976f4…
07-06 17:26:35	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xedb219…
07-06 17:26:07	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x0236ed…
07-06 17:12:56	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	130	42¢	$54	0x6d8116…
07-06 17:12:14	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	138	38¢	$52	0xccb5b6…
07-02 13:44:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	900	93¢	$837	0xfcf6df…
07-01 17:07:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,000	18¢	$360	0x70fd47…
07-01 17:00:29	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	68	100¢	$67	0x62598a…
07-01 17:00:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xffde90…
07-01 16:55:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd85b59…
07-01 16:51:10	trump renames ice to nice by july 31 20260626165335822	No	BUY	115	89¢	$103	0x44ac29…
07-01 16:50:43	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	207	98¢	$202	0xf3bae7…
06-29 01:54:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	74	15¢	$11	0x7c3131…
06-29 01:52:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	592	1¢	$4	0x4d65da…
06-29 01:52:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	126	15¢	$19	0x5ab886…
06-28 16:16:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x602bb9…
06-28 16:16:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x7fd664…
06-28 16:16:17	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1300b7…
06-26 16:54:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x936278…
06-26 16:53:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	192	22¢	$42	0xe2b518…
06-25 18:56:58	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	311	11¢	$35	0xab113a…
06-25 16:24:04	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x3551c3…
06-25 13:20:26	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,843	16¢	$293	0xa62e80…
06-25 13:19:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	489	82¢	$401	0x0bf793…
06-24 17:09:34	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,064	23¢	$244	0xb7f5ad…
06-24 16:57:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	489	53¢	$259	0xf1943c…
06-24 16:53:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x00def4…
06-24 16:52:32	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x7f1809…
06-24 16:45:04	will there be 2 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829178	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x58da0f…
06-24 16:44:50	will there be 1 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829177	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x9e849c…
06-24 01:53:31	2026 nba draft any team to trade into top 10 20260623160218885	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x5aac19…
06-22 01:43:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	205	3¢	$7	0xd62932…
06-21 21:54:50	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x66fac7…