Urban-Publisher 0x9995d5…28d0d3
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$455
Unrealized P&L
+$598
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
208
Trades
770
lifetime
Volume
$76.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$4.67K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 01:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
64% 54% -$368
Other
28% 49% +$334
Sports
4% 50% -$477
Crypto
2% 85% +$135
Tech
2% 50% -$128
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,512 $1,391 92¢ $1.4K -$8 10-21 00:30
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$1,000 66¢ $-1330 -$330 05-06 02:46
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -750 -$592 100¢ $-749 -$156 05-28 04:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 -$952 88¢ $354 +$1,306 09-18 12:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +500 $240 45¢ $225 -$15 08-20 18:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -269 -$124 66¢ $-179 -$55 05-06 20:30
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +750 $150 20¢ $154 +$4 10-27 01:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +573 $164 26¢ $146 -$18 07-13 19:01
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +330 $159 39¢ $129 -$30 08-20 18:28
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +237 $78 6¢ $15 -$63 08-06 14:33
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +45 $41 8¢ $3 -$37 07-31 17:54