Urban-Publisher 0x9995d5…28d0d3 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$48
Unrealized P&L
-$752
Hit rate
97.5%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
29
784 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.95K
$79.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$5.07K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-31 22:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
65% 54% -$368
Other
28% 50% +$334
Sports
4% 50% -$477
Crypto
2% 85% +$135
Tech
1% 50% -$128
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$1,000 76¢ $-1510 -$510 05-06 02:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,654 $1,282 37¢ $1.3K +$61 10-31 22:09
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -750 -$592 100¢ $-749 -$156 05-28 04:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,350 $506 36¢ $493 -$13 10-31 22:02
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +750 $150 36¢ $266 +$116 10-27 01:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +573 $164 36¢ $203 +$40 07-13 19:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -269 -$124 74¢ $-200 -$77 05-06 20:30
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +500 $240 38¢ $192 -$48 08-20 18:29
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +330 $159 28¢ $91 -$67 08-20 18:28
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +237 $78 8¢ $19 -$60 08-06 14:33
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +45 $41 6¢ $2 -$38 07-31 17:54