Surprised-Mirror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$247

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-28 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 42% $-247

Other

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-19	$-7	16¢	$-3	+$4	05-28 20:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$609	313	313	+0	Up	+$9	05-09 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$441	324	324	+0	Down	+$200	05-09 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$299	452	202	+250	Up	+$89	05-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$235	211	111	+100	Up	$-15	05-12 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$210	460	0	+460	Down	$-210	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$140	534	0	+534	Down	$-140	05-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$116	71	71	+0	Down	+$16	05-10 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$110	96	96	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$104	179	179	+0	open	—	05-16 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$100	209	0	+209	Down	$-100	05-10 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$63	51	33	+17	Down	+$3	05-10 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$60	43	43	+0	open	—	05-16 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-17 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$35	49	0	+49	Down	$-35	05-10 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	open	—	05-17 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	Down	$-25	05-10 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$25	86	0	+86	Down	$-25	05-10 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$24	43	26	+17	open	—	05-16 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$23	26	3	+23	Up	$-21	05-10 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$22	42	42	+0	Down	$-6	05-10 16:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 20:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$18	50	0	+50	Down	$-18	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$15	37	0	+37	Up	+$22	05-10 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$15	24	0	+24	Up	$-0	05-10 09:57
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-16 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-10 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 20:04:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0x95d515…
05-17 13:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x363be3…
05-17 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe02a9a…
05-17 13:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1a401b…
05-17 13:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x54fac9…
05-17 13:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdfe79b…
05-17 13:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc925cd…
05-17 09:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xd982a2…
05-17 08:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x1f5368…
05-17 08:11:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x4b76a4…
05-17 07:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe4965c…
05-17 06:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb66744…
05-16 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe077b4…
05-16 22:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x64f142…
05-16 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x44cebd…
05-16 22:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd389b0…
05-16 21:21:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3a8878…
05-16 21:19:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x816050…
05-16 21:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1dcd7a…
05-16 21:17:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x744b4a…
05-16 20:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xf75916…
05-16 20:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x13f49c…
05-16 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd7d5c7…
05-16 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8953ec…
05-16 20:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x4dd4b4…
05-16 20:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0xcff303…
05-16 20:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x73efbd…
05-16 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xcc1a80…
05-16 20:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	179	2¢	$4	0x5f65c6…
05-16 20:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xce231d…
05-13 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x23a30b…
05-13 18:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x767b1c…
05-12 18:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9817cf…
05-12 18:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcdd80a…
05-12 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xfa5be0…
05-12 17:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x24c159…
05-12 17:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xefaa1b…
05-10 17:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3f4e68…
05-10 17:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6406e7…
05-10 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9a7ff1…
05-10 17:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe3154e…
05-10 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x969166…
05-10 16:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xeaad35…
05-10 16:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x54a8c1…
05-10 16:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x267d39…
05-10 16:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x91336a…
05-10 16:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd87fe5…
05-10 15:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x15acbb…
05-10 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x99bb31…
05-10 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdaba09…
05-10 10:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xd5fdad…
05-10 10:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf41344…
05-10 10:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd121e6…
05-10 10:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0053ec…
05-10 09:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x80ad52…
05-10 09:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5694eb…
05-10 09:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3d4eed…
05-10 09:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	71	93¢	$66	0x60dcd1…
05-10 09:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x9cb0cb…
05-10 09:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xf8c90e…
05-10 09:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0xc4c9a7…
05-10 09:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xbbee73…
05-10 09:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe85777…
05-10 09:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x32438f…
05-10 09:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2dcb19…
05-10 09:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xa09414…
05-10 09:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1ca2a9…
05-10 08:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x3536e8…
05-10 08:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xea5ced…
05-10 08:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf9c5d9…
05-10 08:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x092854…
05-10 08:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8d9dce…
05-10 08:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	202	96¢	$194	0x749ada…
05-10 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0x9fba42…
05-10 08:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x306cd3…
05-10 08:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5e2cee…
05-09 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	313	99¢	$309	0x78ae20…
05-09 20:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x8cad07…
05-09 20:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x32464a…
05-09 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0xbfc6a0…
05-09 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x39730a…
05-09 20:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	427	23¢	$100	0x2cfcc9…
05-09 20:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x8263a9…
05-09 20:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xaf0d7f…
05-09 20:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb46c6d…
05-09 18:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	324	99¢	$321	0x228676…
05-09 18:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xdfe19c…
05-09 18:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdaa242…
05-09 18:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x89493c…
05-09 18:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x30a093…