Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-12 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

61% 42% -$94

Other

39% 41% +$133

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+22	$18	96¢	$21	+$3	10-05 03:28
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$2	16¢	$1	-$1	10-04 17:28
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+47	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	10-12 21:29
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	07-16 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	3	$294	196	196	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 13:27
elon musk of tweets march 10 0 9	1	$111	111	0	+111	No	+$0	03-10 19:28
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	2	$100	62	38	+24	open	—	06-09 23:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$91	62	62	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 18:59
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	2	$78	49	39	+11	No	+$3	07-06 14:23
us strikes iraq by february 28	37	$69	677	523	+154	Yes	+$164	03-03 06:35
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	1	$67	67	0	+67	Yes	+$0	05-24 17:27
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	3	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	10-04 17:24
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$58	148	0	+148	open	—	10-04 18:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$57	0	57	-57	No	$0	05-22 10:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$56	0	57	-57	No	-$1	05-22 10:17
military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	10	$56	2,593	2,593	+0	No	-$20	03-15 18:30
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	3	$54	107	107	+0	Yes	-$5	03-01 23:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	3	$45	321	321	+0	No	-$20	03-07 20:11
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$38	494	494	+0	No	-$2	03-08 21:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$34	36	0	+36	No	+$2	07-06 14:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	4	$33	20	20	+0	No	-$1	05-24 17:36
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	3	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-04 21:31
Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	4	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	10-05 16:22
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	1	$21	43	0	+43	Yes	-$21	06-10 11:59
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$19	1,542	1,494	+47	open	—	10-12 21:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$19	22	1	+22	open	—	10-05 03:28
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	1	$18	30	0	+30	Yes	+$13	06-10 11:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$17	189	0	+189	Yes	-$17	03-13 01:27
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	1	$17	94	0	+94	Yes	-$17	03-03 18:34
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	4	$14	201	193	+8	No	-$3	02-20 12:29
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	4	$14	9	6	+3	No	+$1	03-07 20:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$14	600	600	+0	No	-$1	02-23 11:05
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	10-04 21:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	1	$12	200	0	+200	No	-$12	03-06 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 21:29:06	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0xfded0c…
10-05 16:22:22	Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf52cb5…
10-05 03:28:11	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x863049…
10-05 02:24:17	Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x915739…
10-05 02:24:16	Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xbf4273…
10-04 23:16:53	Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x79b933…
10-04 21:34:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x9afdd1…
10-04 21:34:25	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x4527ad…
10-04 21:31:25	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x2bbd60…
10-04 20:47:05	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x547169…
10-04 20:46:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x606e64…
10-04 18:34:55	Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0x32ff03…
10-04 18:33:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	148	39¢	$58	0x76dee0…
10-04 17:28:49	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfc3649…
10-04 17:24:58	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xb8eb03…
08-04 14:45:51	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x38e425…
08-04 14:44:35	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x964f7f…
07-16 18:53:01	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa00b68…
07-15 13:43:05	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x5e73a7…
07-15 08:15:13	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9a2ff1…
07-15 06:26:08	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4272ff…
07-11 22:07:41	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xda7a4d…
07-08 15:33:07	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb8fca…
07-07 23:30:23	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe84f4a…
07-07 23:30:23	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7705b1…
07-07 23:30:23	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5dbd21…
07-06 17:23:08	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x14fa0a…
07-06 14:31:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x32fab7…
07-06 14:23:01	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x71a2c4…
07-02 13:26:23	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	49	86¢	$43	0x218dd9…
06-24 12:37:59	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3e213b…
06-23 02:31:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef8fb1…
06-22 22:50:55	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7553cf…
06-17 21:06:34	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xceea35…
06-17 21:04:58	Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd8cbf8…
06-15 17:58:46	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	133	0¢	$1	0x977c14…
06-14 16:51:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb9a055…
06-14 15:06:15	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x18cfcf…
06-14 15:06:13	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd08fa9…
06-13 19:07:01	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3b980f…
06-13 18:45:16	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5876d1…
06-10 22:30:48	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3c23a4…
06-10 22:14:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x98e8c2…
06-10 22:04:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdc87be…
06-10 21:56:09	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7e71f1…
06-10 11:59:48	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x4ca557…
06-10 11:59:43	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xf75b00…
06-10 11:49:30	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2f62ae…
06-09 23:52:39	Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xb4434a…
06-09 22:06:31	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xafe093…
06-09 20:42:09	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x64171e…
06-09 20:42:07	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x6115df…
06-09 20:42:04	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	219	1¢	$2	0x6e9548…
06-09 20:37:15	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,096	0¢	$3	0x82a6c7…
06-06 18:05:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0xcb62b9…
06-05 08:41:00	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x861263…
05-31 11:43:21	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x196ee5…
05-31 11:40:52	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0x9b7bf5…
05-30 23:40:48	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xef2a13…
05-30 21:45:36	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	386	1¢	$3	0x0a657f…
05-30 21:37:54	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$6	0xd4b894…
05-30 21:37:52	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	879	1¢	$7	0xaf0a1e…
05-30 19:50:18	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x99bb19…
05-29 18:59:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	74¢	$46	0xe5bcad…
05-26 10:29:50	Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x751fce…
05-26 10:29:45	Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xe6cf93…
05-25 19:27:13	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2ce895…
05-25 12:10:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x2b04d9…
05-25 11:17:38	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	15¢	$6	0x43c30a…
05-25 00:08:33	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xf54ef3…
05-24 17:36:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xbbf402…
05-24 17:27:04	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xad88ff…
05-24 17:09:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xb4a85e…
05-24 17:09:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xbe43ed…
05-24 17:08:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xb16e57…
05-24 17:07:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x540748…
05-24 17:07:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x22967a…
05-22 12:21:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x172b9d…
05-22 10:17:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x320200…
05-22 10:17:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xd1009e…
05-22 10:16:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x203fb8…
04-09 12:20:59	will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x757cef…
04-09 12:20:29	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x59d4fa…
04-04 19:57:09	will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x3c6466…
04-04 19:37:23	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x847340…
03-22 16:01:57	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x0d6827…
03-22 16:01:37	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x65eff7…
03-22 16:01:37	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x33a070…
03-22 16:00:53	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x9e0efe…
03-22 15:58:27	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xe51145…
03-22 15:58:11	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xd499f7…
03-22 15:57:15	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x35a274…
03-22 15:48:55	will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$2	0x0e320e…
03-20 16:33:55	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0x761f22…
03-20 14:23:07	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	Yes	SELL	194	0¢	$0	0x96a266…
03-20 12:42:47	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x01e13e…
03-19 18:53:05	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x9f9346…
03-19 18:26:43	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xe656e3…
03-19 01:09:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x2f5e13…
03-18 07:11:33	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x2e6df9…