Only-Concern — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

42 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$71

$5.18K lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$27

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-05 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

42% 94% -$22

Politics

22% 100% +$6

Crypto

18% 100% +$1

Sports

14% 100% +$3

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+14	$14	97¢	$14	$0	11-05 10:16
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	$0	11-05 10:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$7	98¢	$7	+$0	11-05 10:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	3	$707	361	361	+0	No	+$3	07-06 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$441	222	222	+0	No	+$1	05-20 05:27
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$350	352	0	+352	No	+$2	02-08 15:14
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	1	$313	316	0	+316	No	+$3	03-11 08:04
ethereum above 3200 on february 4	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	02-03 13:13
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	01-14 14:55
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 180 199	1	$245	246	0	+246	No	+$1	03-23 05:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	2	$237	119	119	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 16:19
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 0 19	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	04-10 13:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	06-01 06:09
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$185	185	0	+185	No	+$0	04-26 05:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$172	172	0	+172	No	+$0	04-16 05:08
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	05-07 07:25
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	05-07 07:26
khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 50 54	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$0	04-16 05:05
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 60 79	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	04-10 13:50
will bnb reach 1300 in january	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	01-24 01:43
will solana reach 160 in august 2026	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	08-16 12:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	01-14 14:57
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 200plus	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	03-23 05:48
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	01-24 01:44
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	05-07 07:24
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-03 13:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$41	43	43	+0	No	-$29	03-11 08:03
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-02 09:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	10-11 10:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	03-11 16:45
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-16 05:04
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-02 09:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	11-05 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 10:16:52	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca6a45…
11-05 10:16:10	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x2a6c33…
11-05 10:15:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x030f52…
10-11 10:55:32	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x35788c…
10-11 10:54:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xee4102…
09-18 09:24:58	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c9c5a…
09-02 09:17:25	Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a88a4…
09-02 09:16:34	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x23b891…
08-16 12:45:52	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x858805…
08-16 12:45:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x118d67…
08-16 12:44:42	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xc9e12d…
07-06 07:43:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xea5eac…
07-06 05:55:17	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	258	98¢	$254	0xd37c5b…
07-05 14:51:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfb50b9…
07-05 14:49:50	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	361	98¢	$352	0x3fbbe7…
06-12 16:19:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xa7aca9…
06-01 06:10:20	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xf6f887…
06-01 06:09:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xcc2a16…
05-20 05:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x850c35…
05-20 05:04:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x07aaff…
05-07 07:26:34	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xa9a479…
05-07 07:25:24	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x8e53a1…
05-07 07:24:42	Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xe09f37…
04-26 05:47:48	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x0836b0…
04-16 05:08:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8dea2c…
04-16 05:05:36	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 50 54	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x8df423…
04-16 05:04:34	white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x397317…
04-10 13:50:51	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 0 19	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xb58202…
04-10 13:50:27	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 60 79	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x9e1d25…
03-23 05:48:13	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 200plus	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd87756…
03-23 05:47:41	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 180 199	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xcb3244…
03-11 16:45:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x5a1612…
03-11 08:04:03	donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 200plus	No	BUY	316	99¢	$313	0xcde02e…
03-11 08:03:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	43	15¢	$6	0xc0903c…
02-08 15:14:35	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	352	99¢	$350	0x3dfacb…
02-03 13:15:26	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 200 219	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7a074…
02-03 13:13:12	ethereum above 3200 on february 4	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe3ab11…
01-24 01:44:42	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x16e290…
01-24 01:44:04	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x86180e…
01-24 01:43:30	will bnb reach 1300 in january	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xacdd61…
01-14 14:57:06	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x1710c7…
01-14 14:55:54	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x83b559…