Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 09-28 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

65% 45% +$3

Politics

35% 33% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-28 04:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	2	$961	525	525	+0	open	—	06-12 05:23
will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	2	$838	450	450	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:28
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	2	$837	455	455	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 08:03
total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	2	$837	455	455	+0	No	+$0	08-10 06:55
will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	2	$837	440	440	+0	No	+$0	08-11 02:25
will trump visit north korea by december 31	2	$833	455	455	+0	open	—	08-11 05:45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$824	450	450	+0	open	—	07-09 10:07
will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	3	$819	445	445	+0	open	—	07-13 06:57
greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	2	$818	440	440	+0	open	—	07-13 08:11
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$818	440	440	+0	open	—	07-09 11:11
will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	3	$818	440	440	+0	No	+$0	07-24 07:36
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	2	$773	405	405	+0	No	+$0	06-25 09:00
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	2	$772	415	415	+0	open	—	06-26 02:57
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$770	415	415	+0	No	-$1	06-25 07:47
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$770	405	405	+0	open	—	06-26 06:28
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$722	380	380	+0	No	+$0	08-29 02:03
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	2	$718	390	390	+0	open	—	08-29 04:23
bra pal gre 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	5	$233	240	0	+240	SE Palmeiras	+$7	04-02 07:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	3	$230	200	200	+0	Yes	-$10	05-03 01:38
bra2 juv nov 2026 03 31 spread away 1pt5	1	$209	230	0	+230	EC Juventude	+$21	03-31 09:43
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 spread home 2pt5	1	$200	204	0	+204	Georgia	+$4	03-29 08:40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$62	940	940	+0	No	+$4	05-09 08:15
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$19	930	0	+930	Sevilla FC	-$19	05-09 08:20
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-28 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 04:45:27	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x3392f7…
08-29 04:23:19	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	390	92¢	$359	0x86158f…
08-29 02:42:15	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	390	92¢	$359	0xe80bc8…
08-29 02:03:48	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	380	95¢	$361	0x09d670…
08-29 01:25:18	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	380	95¢	$361	0xa8c523…
08-11 05:45:15	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	SELL	455	92¢	$416	0xa2e293…
08-11 03:09:31	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	BUY	455	92¢	$416	0x146b04…
08-11 02:25:28	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	SELL	440	95¢	$418	0x269a7a…
08-11 01:56:55	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	440	95¢	$418	0x7c62c3…
08-10 08:03:19	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	455	92¢	$419	0x47dcba…
08-10 07:22:57	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	455	92¢	$419	0xff44f5…
08-10 06:55:24	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	455	92¢	$419	0x38d01c…
08-10 06:08:57	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	BUY	455	92¢	$419	0x6c366c…
07-24 07:36:43	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x6b0153…
07-24 07:34:36	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	428	93¢	$398	0x4aaf59…
07-24 05:18:18	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	440	93¢	$409	0x20fa40…
07-24 03:28:30	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	450	93¢	$419	0xf4ad51…
07-24 02:56:57	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	450	93¢	$419	0x47b294…
07-13 08:11:56	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x37d86f…
07-13 07:26:14	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	No	BUY	440	93¢	$409	0x99a783…
07-13 06:57:58	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	SELL	445	92¢	$409	0x033931…
07-13 06:22:44	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	BUY	401	92¢	$369	0xab8c69…
07-13 06:22:31	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xffa0ea…
07-09 11:11:49	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x6050c7…
07-09 10:18:29	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	440	93¢	$409	0xb0c74a…
07-09 10:07:19	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	450	91¢	$410	0x97d17d…
07-09 07:35:32	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	450	92¢	$414	0x8f3063…
06-26 06:28:56	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	405	95¢	$385	0x75cc95…
06-26 03:45:31	Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	405	95¢	$385	0x4213d1…
06-26 02:57:29	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	415	93¢	$386	0xfc6567…
06-26 02:26:53	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	415	93¢	$386	0x15a410…
06-25 09:00:44	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	405	96¢	$387	0x0fc559…
06-25 07:56:17	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	405	95¢	$386	0x617cc9…
06-25 07:47:59	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	415	93¢	$384	0xb63bfd…
06-25 06:37:25	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	415	93¢	$386	0x6da246…
06-12 05:23:27	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	525	91¢	$478	0x893096…
06-12 04:51:43	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	525	92¢	$483	0x9392c5…
05-09 08:20:31	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	475	2¢	$10	0x404599…
05-09 08:19:55	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	455	2¢	$9	0xee3793…
05-09 08:15:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	3¢	$17	0x00e17a…
05-09 08:15:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	4¢	$16	0x48d605…
05-09 05:17:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	3¢	$15	0xa0a478…
05-09 05:17:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	3¢	$14	0xcd44c8…
05-03 01:38:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x7529a6…
05-03 01:38:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	SELL	197	55¢	$109	0x40dbbb…
05-02 06:09:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x57bb39…
04-02 07:42:43	bra pal gre 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xed57a3…
04-02 07:40:33	bra pal gre 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x59dcbe…
04-02 07:40:13	bra pal gre 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x90c061…
04-02 07:39:59	bra pal gre 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf4bd6d…
04-02 07:39:39	bra pal gre 2026 04 02 spread away 1pt5	SE Palmeiras	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x1bfd6a…
03-31 09:43:35	bra2 juv nov 2026 03 31 spread away 1pt5	EC Juventude	BUY	230	91¢	$209	0xbe0848…
03-29 08:40:32	fif lit geo 2026 03 29 spread home 2pt5	Georgia	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x5875f9…