(anonymous) 0x9c84bf…38be53
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Realized P&L
-$192
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
39.4%
Resolved
134
Trades
216
lifetime
Volume
$768
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$25
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 10-09 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
90% 29% -$112
Sports
7% 0% -$54
Politics
3% 0% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $12 10¢ $10 -$2 08-30 00:46
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +600 $16 1¢ $6 -$10 08-01 07:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +210 $8 2¢ $4 -$4 08-30 00:45
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +400 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 08-04 15:17
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 08-04 15:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +252 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-05 05:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 10-05 05:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +72 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-05 05:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +72 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-05 06:02