Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
57
Trades
93
lifetime
Volume
$1.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$202
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-27 20:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
70% 65% +$60
Other
28% 40% -$86
Tech
2% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +116 $50 66¢ $76 +$26 06-30 07:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +113 $50 43¢ $49 -$1 10-27 19:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -41 -$31 78¢ $-32 -$1 10-25 23:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +69 $50 40¢ $28 -$22 10-26 23:31
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -206 -$8 5¢ $-10 -$2 10-26 23:29
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -107 -$6 6¢ $-6 +$0 10-26 23:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -16 -$1 4¢ $-1 $0 10-26 23:30