Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$1.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$75
4 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-19 02:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
75%
Other
25%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +42 $39 94¢ $39 $-0 06-15 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +41 $35 86¢ $35 +$0 06-19 11:14
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Yes +39 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 15:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-13 05:44