Realized P&L
+$847
Unrealized P&L
+$127
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
594
Trades
2,959
lifetime
Volume
$34.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$401
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-28 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Crypto
38% 37% -$256
Other
34% 37% +$507
Politics
21% 50% +$148
Sports
5% 46% +$366
Tech
2% 40% +$82
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +123 $100 99¢ $122 +$22 10-27 20:14
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +58 -$9 86¢ $50 +$59 10-26 16:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $27 96¢ $48 +$21 10-28 03:41
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $33 93¢ $46 +$14 10-27 15:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +219 $44 16¢ $36 -$8 10-28 01:01
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +35 $26 96¢ $34 +$7 10-28 02:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +30 $21 97¢ $29 +$8 10-20 15:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 10-27 17:23
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $13 99¢ $15 +$2 10-27 22:44
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +214 $2 2¢ $3 +$2 09-20 11:43