Improbable-Detour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-01 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Politics

7% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	05-30 08:44
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	$-0	05-30 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-10 17:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 15:06
ethereum above 2200 on april 23	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-23 08:36
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-06 01:42
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-20 11:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	06-01 12:31
highest temperature in denver on april 22 2026 64forhigher	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-21 19:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-20 03:31
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-17 21:16
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	01-30 19:02
will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-12 13:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-01 19:00
ethereum above 2000 on april 13	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 07:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-27 15:02
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-16 05:05
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 16	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-16 22:03
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-19 01:40
bitcoin above 74k on april 24	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 02:54
bitcoin above 68k on april 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-17 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-26 00:01
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-22 20:41
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 21?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-21 21:27
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-15 06:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 14:30
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-28 07:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 05:31
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-22 13:26
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-12 07:16
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-05 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:31:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xde6559…
05-30 20:55:26	Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd8f08a…
05-30 08:44:32	Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x282d51…
05-29 03:21:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf0d06c…
05-28 07:59:00	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xaef64d…
05-26 08:55:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6016db…
05-23 18:36:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1755b4…
05-23 13:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03630a…
05-23 03:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x84d1fa…
05-22 20:41:43	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf3d869…
05-22 05:31:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x039bcc…
05-21 21:27:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7d3fd7…
05-20 03:31:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf445f8…
05-18 21:52:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x31206a…
05-18 14:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x43475c…
05-17 21:16:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1b585c…
05-16 14:11:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd0016f…
05-10 03:06:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7df853…
05-06 06:45:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf89d8a…
05-04 18:46:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa48e54…
05-01 19:00:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdde121…
04-29 08:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb078c6…
04-29 00:32:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x443e89…
04-27 15:02:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x40c78d…
04-27 13:00:18	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x60afd1…
04-27 02:21:26	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4b76fe…
04-26 13:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdc8ce8…
04-26 07:44:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb00309…
04-26 00:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x480e18…
04-25 03:55:46	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x670d14…
04-24 02:54:30	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x18b830…
04-23 20:59:48	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4f6de0…
04-23 08:36:26	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xca2772…
04-22 13:26:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x4bb57c…
04-22 09:47:02	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x819f47…
04-21 19:22:46	highest temperature in denver on april 22 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd0db09…
04-21 15:06:30	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcbe09e…
04-21 00:39:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x83065e…
04-20 11:37:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc0c8da…
04-19 01:40:06	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc758b9…
04-17 20:45:28	will bitcoin dip to 68k april 13 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd2ef91…
04-17 15:59:32	bitcoin above 68k on april 19	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0c59b3…
04-17 10:10:56	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x6e1587…
04-16 22:03:54	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 16	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x54281a…
04-16 05:05:02	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcf888d…
04-15 07:47:18	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x566467…
04-15 06:37:42	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6e2c44…
04-13 07:02:51	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xebfa60…
04-12 23:50:35	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf988ae…
04-12 13:10:51	will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x50a6aa…
04-10 17:01:09	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x39d213…
02-12 07:16:27	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9f3088…
02-10 02:10:39	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2b4e7c…
02-05 04:21:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x52a69d…
01-30 19:02:22	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc418cf…
01-24 02:42:40	will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd77383…
01-16 02:32:30	will solana dip to 80 in january 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7716b4…
01-11 12:26:38	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ca224…
01-06 01:42:51	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x9c4113…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$66.0K	1,408	06-05 06:34
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	28	$324.8K	2,838	05-31 23:32
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	26	$1.76K	619	06-01 03:06
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	25	$1.20K	25	05-30 02:33
Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a	25	$674	44	06-01 09:42
(anonymous) 0x93c8…d2a3	25	$573	120	06-01 06:59
Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2	23	$598	29	05-27 22:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	22	$8.65K	68	05-26 14:26