Improbable-Detour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$76 lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Politics

32% 100% +$0

Crypto

20% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	No		+19	$19	100¢	$19	+$0	05-12 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 01:48
Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	05-12 05:40
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	05-09 03:38
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-10 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 05:40:50	Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9bf361…
05-10 03:06:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7df853…
05-09 03:38:55	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf5a7c3…
05-06 01:48:14	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfbe062…