Realized P&L
-$42
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
32.5%
Resolved
140
Trades
191
lifetime
Volume
$1.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$75
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-12 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
45% 11% -$235
Politics
33% 32% +$150
Crypto
16% 21% +$78
Sports
5% 7% -$26
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -24 -$20 94¢ $-22 -$2 07-09 05:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +38 $20 41¢ $16 -$4 06-03 04:01
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50 $8 28¢ $14 +$6 10-12 16:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +48 $5 13¢ $6 +$1 08-09 06:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $5 19¢ $4 -$1 08-09 06:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +29 $5 15¢ $4 -$1 08-07 04:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +40 $5 10¢ $4 -$1 08-09 06:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +28 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 10-03 04:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +26 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 05-05 22:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +36 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-20 04:20