Petty-Overload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.4%

Resolved

230

Trades

508

lifetime

Volume

$504

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-01 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

44% 6% -$3

Politics

32% 18% -$1

Crypto

17% 26% $0

Tech

5% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 03:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-22 03:11
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:06
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-03 02:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 07:02
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-14 01:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:09
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 03:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:08
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 08:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-24 09:45
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 01:53
will trump and machado not shake hands	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 09:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:05 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 03:10
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:14
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 02:34
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 01:58
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-09 02:59
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 02:31
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 01:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-21 01:55
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-16 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:12:18	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd96335…
08-01 07:02:56	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x516122…
08-01 06:55:24	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x85d3cb…
08-01 06:48:32	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x08c69d…
07-31 03:25:14	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a19c1…
07-31 03:22:27	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8d7fa…
07-31 03:12:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x180239…
07-31 02:59:30	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xffdde3…
07-30 06:06:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa93c03…
07-30 04:13:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x406716…
07-30 03:41:45	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa0a0aa…
07-30 03:07:20	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd48df6…
07-29 04:48:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x27ebb2…
07-29 04:30:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x708571…
07-29 04:24:41	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3eb910…
07-29 04:16:51	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x13ffe1…
07-28 04:14:21	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9bf3b4…
07-28 03:37:51	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd9b465…
07-28 03:32:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x450f54…
07-28 03:23:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe235ae…
07-27 02:53:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1a82f5…
07-27 02:43:36	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0a281…
07-27 02:39:36	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x765d30…
07-27 02:34:10	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bb83f…
07-25 04:22:33	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9828b1…
07-25 04:09:39	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x583322…
07-25 03:51:12	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x084c4a…
07-25 03:37:39	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb1f67…
07-24 04:02:13	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcb6fcb…
07-24 03:50:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x72aed8…
07-24 03:42:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe94aaa…
07-24 03:22:51	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbfefca…
07-23 03:13:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8e2aae…
07-23 03:04:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a3b8e…
07-23 03:02:22	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacfcaf…
07-23 02:57:25	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4e69ad…
07-22 03:11:18	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc36957…
07-22 03:03:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5b40f7…
07-22 02:58:15	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3e52ae…
07-22 02:50:04	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaab8f9…
07-21 02:58:37	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xda387d…
07-21 02:52:39	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe65a08…
07-21 02:48:19	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa77cb6…
07-21 02:36:28	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e681f…
07-20 04:52:39	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1236d0…
07-20 04:38:36	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f7d82…
07-20 04:34:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1e30e8…
07-20 04:21:18	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf2b0a1…
07-18 04:35:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x392fea…
07-18 04:25:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xce1478…
07-18 04:01:00	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3e96b8…
07-18 03:52:46	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x408f2c…
07-18 03:46:16	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd338f2…
07-18 03:24:09	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7908ef…
07-17 03:11:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea8ef0…
07-17 02:57:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x667d21…
07-17 02:52:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x57b425…
07-17 02:44:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7774e0…
07-16 02:59:56	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0ef503…
07-16 02:41:11	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x70f998…
07-16 02:37:34	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd28193…
07-16 02:30:58	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9f73a3…
07-15 02:53:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x576f0b…
07-15 02:45:28	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa14e90…
07-15 02:39:35	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdf5696…
07-15 02:29:08	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18cbd5…
07-14 03:58:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x99f871…
07-14 03:54:04	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05e013…
07-14 03:50:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x866fc0…
07-14 03:30:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xafea6d…
07-13 03:38:38	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x35b177…
07-13 03:28:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x84e436…
07-13 03:25:50	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8a0913…
07-13 03:17:10	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8bc8da…
07-11 03:08:50	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4bbbf0…
07-11 03:02:05	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74f962…
07-11 02:55:46	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xfae83a…
07-11 02:47:56	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x91d2e3…
07-10 03:36:38	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa1c4fb…
07-10 03:13:26	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6c30b8…
07-10 03:09:05	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xdeb5d0…
07-10 03:07:53	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28ad63…
07-09 03:12:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbbd6b9…
07-09 02:48:38	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21e29c…
07-09 02:46:44	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc700a1…
07-09 02:39:17	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8dd2ee…
07-08 03:20:46	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x433dcd…
07-08 03:15:55	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb29f8f…
07-08 03:10:17	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x468942…
07-08 02:35:52	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ff13f…
07-07 03:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x38343c…
07-07 03:32:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa1454c…
07-07 03:24:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf3b4c4…
07-07 03:16:43	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcc508f…
07-06 03:09:55	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xfee346…
07-06 02:59:49	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f2f80…
07-06 02:56:35	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4682db…
07-06 02:47:50	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b4312…
07-04 02:54:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd921a5…
07-04 02:36:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8bae4…