Petty-Overload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$281

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-18 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 33% $-0

Crypto

24% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No		-1	$-1	72¢	$-1	$-0	06-11 03:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes		-1	$-0	28¢	$-0	+$0	06-11 03:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:02
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 01:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 02:11
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 03:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:08
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:02
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:45
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 01:53
will trump and machado not shake hands	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-16 09:47
btc updown 5m 1773025500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 03:10
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 02:34
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-20 08:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 02:59
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 01:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 01:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 01:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 03:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 03:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:19
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-18 02:59
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:10
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:54
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 06:19
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:18
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-24 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 02:59:49	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x190666…
06-18 02:57:32	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x14104f…
06-18 02:46:58	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a4bd9…
06-18 02:40:10	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8401d5…
06-17 03:01:19	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6f57b5…
06-17 02:53:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd647b3…
06-17 02:49:28	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5afc27…
06-17 02:37:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcb90c1…
06-16 02:46:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x408aa7…
06-16 02:38:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5e8f92…
06-15 03:05:43	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23ff74…
06-15 02:45:13	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd42c45…
06-12 03:52:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x76b80e…
06-12 03:43:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x701857…
06-12 03:40:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7e81d2…
06-12 03:25:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef6cc9…
06-11 03:07:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xad7cdc…
06-11 03:05:48	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x733f06…
06-11 03:03:25	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x1294b4…
06-09 01:37:12	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x45a382…
06-09 01:36:28	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8effd2…
06-09 01:23:31	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x43f480…
06-09 01:18:45	Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4fc9e4…
06-06 03:29:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeda12b…
06-06 03:23:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe4eb56…
06-06 03:18:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0e12a0…
06-06 03:03:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeb87e5…
06-04 02:41:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x20a536…
06-04 02:14:48	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5f3b02…
06-04 02:06:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd19ab6…
06-02 02:10:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe56867…
06-02 02:05:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdcf7dd…
06-02 01:56:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0c5336…
06-01 03:02:27	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x147ff3…
06-01 02:28:14	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x426816…
05-30 02:31:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x35b437…
05-30 02:08:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1cfd5f…
05-29 02:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb6e3d5…
05-29 02:06:50	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd5d554…
05-29 01:55:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42bd20…
05-29 01:49:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd22977…
05-28 03:30:42	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8d8141…
05-28 03:20:52	James Comey charges dropped by July 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x90728d…
05-25 02:47:51	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x586ef2…
05-25 02:38:54	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a1046…
05-21 03:08:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf011ef…
05-21 02:56:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf9481…
05-19 02:31:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x8dfe77…
05-19 01:54:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x702968…
05-18 03:31:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf18c68…
05-18 02:43:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9a5945…
05-16 03:03:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb5849f…
05-16 02:44:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ab97a…
05-15 02:43:40	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xdcea3c…
05-15 02:36:50	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc398b5…
05-14 02:28:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x349c6c…
05-14 02:17:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x99500c…
05-11 02:33:20	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d3727…
05-11 02:32:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x28cec8…
05-11 02:26:11	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe32200…
05-11 02:16:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x048cf5…
05-09 02:08:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbaeb0f…
05-09 01:55:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf42c72…
05-08 03:20:41	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x47922e…
05-08 03:18:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9f8b97…
05-08 03:13:29	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x820e02…
05-08 03:05:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x25de58…
05-07 01:54:32	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x573b36…
05-07 01:53:07	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb0c480…
05-07 01:44:23	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa5ad06…
05-07 01:35:02	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x07aeeb…
05-06 03:19:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe0aa4d…
05-06 02:07:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe01f1a…
05-05 02:30:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa2cd9f…
05-05 02:12:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdfff9d…
05-04 01:58:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x74a92b…
05-04 01:57:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4f5bac…
05-04 01:47:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x82c452…
05-04 01:43:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75e9e1…
04-30 03:19:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b2697…
04-30 03:10:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x301500…
04-29 02:11:32	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4925fe…
04-29 02:05:32	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ef6d4…
04-29 02:05:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9d7a1c…
04-29 02:00:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7dd9a0…
04-28 02:00:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x161054…
04-28 01:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51dfc0…
04-28 01:54:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa12863…
04-28 01:47:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa6bf45…
04-27 01:50:58	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3bd514…
04-27 01:40:52	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x264d97…
04-25 02:10:36	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9059f3…
04-25 02:07:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5e4740…
04-25 02:03:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x41a204…
04-25 01:55:46	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3a8102…
04-24 01:56:40	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1939ac…
04-24 01:55:22	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x73be3f…
04-24 01:50:18	bitcoin above 76k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd1b492…
04-24 01:43:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x352fbc…
04-23 10:41:30	bitcoin above 76k on april 23	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9aa66e…