Digital-Valentine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$218

Unrealized P&L

+$54

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

134

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$44.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$179

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-11 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

52% 80% -$233

Other

26% 90% +$11

Crypto

19% 77% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+144	$134	99¢	$142	+$8	06-18 15:34
Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	No	+35	$30	82¢	$29	-$1	11-10 14:13
Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	+35	-$22	18¢	$6	+$28	11-10 14:09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+144	$9	1¢	$2	-$7	06-21 13:09
Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	+5	-$26	2¢	$0	+$27	11-08 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	27	$3.4K	1,757	1,757	+0	No	+$4	03-10 15:38
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	14	$2.6K	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	+$5	04-28 19:39
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	7	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	No	+$1	01-20 09:57
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.5K	759	757	+2	No	+$0	02-12 20:24
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	8	$1.5K	750	750	+0	No	+$1	02-18 09:52
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	10	$1.5K	748	748	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 16:10
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	25	$1.5K	742	742	+0	No	+$0	01-11 11:32
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	7	$1.5K	750	750	+0	No	-$2	02-06 16:38
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$1.2K	612	592	+20	Yes	+$1	03-04 10:36
Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	2	$1.2K	1,212	0	+1,212	Yes	+$11	04-29 02:40
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	9	$1.2K	593	593	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 08:58
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	8	$1.2K	592	592	+0	No	+$1	03-02 07:11
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	3	$1.2K	591	591	+0	No	+$1	03-01 19:09
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	3	$1.1K	752	375	+377	No	+$0	02-11 03:35
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	4	$1.1K	756	360	+396	No	+$15	04-26 04:46
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$757	380	380	+0	No	+$1	02-26 14:38
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$752	377	377	+0	No	+$0	02-19 11:36
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$752	377	377	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 13:28
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$744	373	373	+0	No	+$1	02-03 05:26
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$739	371	371	+0	No	+$0	01-10 04:46
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	4	$738	371	371	+0	No	+$0	01-13 02:30
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	74	$737	370	370	+0	No	+$1	01-09 14:16
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$737	369	369	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 00:26
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	2	$737	369	369	+0	No	+$0	01-03 06:53
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$730	377	377	+0	No	+$0	01-20 10:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$639	323	323	+0	No	+$1	04-23 15:58
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$464	232	232	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:17
Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	4	$457	233	233	+0	No	+$8	04-26 03:20
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$455	228	228	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 03:39
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during WHCA Dinner events?	4	$438	444	0	+444	No	+$6	04-26 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 02:42:42	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$3	0x560fee…
11-10 14:29:04	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x085adc…
11-10 14:26:57	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xa614bd…
11-10 14:13:54	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x810494…
11-10 14:09:25	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	60	16¢	$10	0xffbe84…
11-10 14:09:13	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x6a26d8…
11-10 14:09:09	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	104	20¢	$21	0x3b44b7…
11-10 14:01:18	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa7acfa…
11-10 14:01:12	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	108	9¢	$10	0x50e1c4…
11-10 13:57:00	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	56	29¢	$16	0x812f7c…
11-10 13:56:48	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x26bcb0…
11-10 13:55:25	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xf89bad…
11-10 13:25:45	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	93	10¢	$9	0xa35854…
11-10 13:25:45	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x6682e0…
11-10 13:25:45	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x3bf421…
11-10 13:19:27	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	SELL	53	29¢	$15	0x9da4b1…
11-10 13:18:01	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x20f9bd…
11-10 13:17:42	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	99	15¢	$15	0xe1641f…
11-10 13:17:19	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	99	15¢	$15	0x7fb117…
11-10 13:16:37	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x0b9844…
11-10 13:16:31	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xab8d89…
11-10 13:00:51	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x057c02…
11-10 13:00:49	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	170	12¢	$20	0xc9e8de…
11-10 13:00:40	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x27c8e8…
11-10 12:56:39	Will Drake attend Super Bowl LXI?	Yes	BUY	388	16¢	$60	0x81d501…
11-10 12:48:52	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x9dc323…
11-10 12:47:04	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0xc44f58…
11-10 12:44:30	Will "Holy Grail" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1,040	4¢	$42	0x804d33…
11-09 05:56:37	Will Angers qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	194	3¢	$5	0x06552c…
11-08 13:27:06	Will Angers qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0xe2f3a7…
11-08 13:22:18	Will Angers qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	118	5¢	$6	0x03995e…
11-08 13:20:43	Will Angers qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	392	2¢	$9	0x1ffd2d…
11-08 03:22:46	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	225	4¢	$9	0xcfc67e…
11-08 03:21:45	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	129	6¢	$8	0x9102d0…
11-08 03:21:40	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4d50c7…
11-08 03:21:39	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xf4dbac…
11-08 03:17:15	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf0556f…
11-08 03:16:24	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x498a72…
11-08 02:59:43	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x8cc831…
11-08 02:59:22	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	133	8¢	$11	0x950432…
11-08 02:59:21	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xa7bd7f…
11-08 02:53:00	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	128	7¢	$9	0x5271cf…
11-08 02:35:28	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x9ae45f…
11-08 02:35:13	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xc7d51e…
11-08 02:32:34	Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	774	3¢	$26	0xcc893e…
07-24 02:53:10	will ng dip to 2 40 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6fff90…
07-19 18:34:03	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x8c0d31…
07-19 13:05:49	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0d2edf…
07-19 09:44:46	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b0aad…
07-19 09:44:24	will the aqi at the world cup final be 180 or higher 20260717164825579	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x067609…
07-16 03:06:58	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36160b…
07-08 03:17:34	will wti dip to 35 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa5fe23…
07-02 12:38:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x7e78c1…
06-28 13:06:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x6ed75b…
06-28 13:05:49	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa08dc9…
06-21 13:09:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	6¢	$9	0x0a1616…
06-18 15:34:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	144	93¢	$134	0x3302f2…
06-14 12:54:51	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6550b9…
06-14 12:54:07	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x56d01b…
06-08 08:20:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb4472d…
06-08 08:20:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8d1d20…
06-08 07:51:42	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3f4505…
06-08 05:18:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x8b069b…
06-08 05:16:09	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf208d7…
06-06 15:21:09	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe535c6…
06-06 07:10:48	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0xa9b85a…
06-05 16:43:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x1223d9…
06-05 13:01:33	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x02aaf9…
06-01 02:23:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb3e746…
05-28 13:30:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x3656b9…
05-28 13:29:24	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x9e7f8d…
05-25 10:56:50	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x747d73…
05-22 23:52:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x15af2e…
05-16 10:55:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0x14cba8…
05-16 08:28:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x741b15…
05-11 05:15:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0x78d5a6…
05-09 03:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$168	0xf0160c…
05-04 17:59:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	169	98¢	$165	0xaab56f…
04-29 12:20:40	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0x2cacca…
04-29 10:52:38	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Oil" this week?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x29a905…
04-29 06:22:30	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Oil" this week?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x90ce47…
04-29 02:40:18	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	1,175	99¢	$1,165	0x8df370…
04-29 02:22:14	Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x639dfc…
04-29 02:20:42	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	SELL	312	1¢	$3	0x584ec8…
04-29 02:19:36	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0x7d35a2…
04-29 01:52:36	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x28da4d…
04-29 01:42:02	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xe66a3e…
04-29 01:40:06	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1cc150…
04-28 19:39:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	484	100¢	$483	0xe672ab…
04-28 10:57:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x80dded…
04-28 10:55:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8cf914…
04-28 10:07:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0xec4c9c…
04-28 07:02:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xdce56b…
04-27 21:14:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	783	99¢	$779	0xc66a87…
04-27 21:05:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x48aa5f…
04-27 20:33:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8469bf…
04-27 20:33:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc4b6d9…
04-27 19:18:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x577807…
04-27 12:26:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84d200…
04-27 12:08:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb511f4…