Realized P&L
+$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.77K
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved
155
Trades
1,048
lifetime
Volume
$352.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$336
Open exposure
$19.8K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 11-09 14:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
51% 71% +$5,488
Other
44% 46% +$2,383
Sports
4% 46% +$2,033
Crypto
1% 100% +$285
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +5,470 $5,207 97¢ $5.3K +$112 11-08 17:36
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,500 $3,327 99¢ $4.5K +$1,124 11-05 01:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +3,140 $2,606 86¢ $2.7K +$110 11-09 01:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,060 $1,751 94¢ $1.9K +$184 10-23 07:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,690 $3,331 34¢ $1.9K -$1,399 11-08 10:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,060 $1,751 94¢ $1.9K +$175 10-24 15:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,420 $753 88¢ $1.2K +$490 11-05 02:12
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +2,731 $2,568 7¢ $188 -$2,379 10-06 12:36
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,000 $245 6¢ $65 -$180 09-25 16:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +62 $10 8¢ $5 -$5 10-10 08:00