Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$106

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-05 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

54% 75% +$4

Politics

23% 67% +$2

Sports

12% 100% +$1

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	+56	$54	98¢	$54	+$0	10-29 17:17
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	No	+53	$51	96¢	$51	$0	11-05 17:38
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	08-27 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?	3	$129	66	66	+0	Yes	+$0	11-04 03:56
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	4	$128	67	67	+0	Yes	+$1	10-24 15:42
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	3	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 18:00
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	9	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	08-27 13:39
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	5	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 12:15
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	5	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	07-22 02:46
Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	6	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-18 14:29
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	09-10 11:57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-31 23:38
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$97	51	51	+0	No	+$2	09-03 14:45
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 13:30
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-09 23:09
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	4	$97	50	50	-0	Yes	+$0	10-30 05:08
Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	5	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 04:36
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-15 13:00
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	08-25 03:33
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$96	51	51	+0	open	—	06-03 14:00
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-16 13:39
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	09-08 01:29
Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$0	09-30 04:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-15 11:47
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	3	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-29 17:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	09-11 06:49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	07-18 23:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	2	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	06-29 09:48
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	11	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	08-24 08:53
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	1	$54	56	0	+56	open	—	10-29 17:17
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	2	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	11-05 17:38
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$1	06-26 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:38:37	Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x105ebf…
11-04 03:56:51	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?	Yes	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0xf26714…
11-04 03:52:06	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5fae7e…
11-01 05:07:42	Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe80b40…
10-30 05:08:22	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf5ebb5…
10-30 05:08:16	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xadd2ce…
10-29 17:17:19	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xee289b…
10-24 15:42:14	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xf0afee…
10-24 15:42:14	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x2f788c…
09-30 04:25:59	Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$48	0xb91cac…
09-29 07:58:24	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdfaddb…
09-29 06:38:11	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x5b480c…
09-15 14:52:58	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?	Yes	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0xb84f9c…
09-15 11:47:19	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xadc8fb…
09-11 21:45:06	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4f261c…
09-11 06:49:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xbbe7f2…
09-10 11:57:10	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x27999c…
09-10 03:29:22	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x49f6f3…
09-08 10:49:16	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5f2c9a…
09-08 01:29:09	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xed3918…
09-07 03:56:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb06644…
09-05 22:52:18	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x09f64d…
09-03 14:45:54	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xc0f79b…
08-31 04:36:01	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xb8dbbf…
08-31 04:36:00	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfd721e…
08-31 04:35:58	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xe92f87…
08-30 20:14:06	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8a3f5c…
08-30 14:31:22	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xd16066…
08-29 00:07:51	Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$48	0x1419eb…
08-27 13:39:03	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5ed417…
08-27 13:35:18	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb12208…
08-27 13:22:37	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd06ffe…
08-27 13:10:54	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2b135b…
08-27 12:53:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0d1dff…
08-27 12:53:04	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x094098…
08-27 12:31:01	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb6cc6d…
08-27 12:29:43	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9d4535…
08-25 03:33:12	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x9726c6…
08-24 18:50:12	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x4cb3f8…
08-24 17:39:18	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x98e845…
08-24 08:53:36	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xcf71ee…
08-11 01:00:49	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xb1b39c…
08-11 01:00:39	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xef8213…
08-05 11:47:18	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf6498f…
08-05 11:47:15	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x7ba8f7…
07-30 23:03:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x50aec3…
07-29 17:52:11	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xa70ec7…
07-29 17:52:09	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xbc63e5…
07-29 06:27:39	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x94dd7c…
07-28 21:09:08	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x274763…
07-28 15:38:52	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x427635…
07-23 12:15:10	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0d67f1…
07-23 05:53:12	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb87034…
07-23 05:52:37	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4bd3ce…
07-22 02:46:34	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xd95608…
07-21 16:24:19	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2fb9dd…
07-20 03:58:22	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40f6a8…
07-19 21:38:31	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x99784b…
07-19 20:25:22	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xed65e7…
07-19 15:01:46	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x74037d…
07-18 23:51:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x407d2b…
07-17 14:12:22	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x7b83f0…
07-17 09:40:43	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x80acc1…
07-16 13:39:53	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x852ae5…
06-29 09:48:02	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xeae3d2…
06-26 09:38:26	Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x467cea…
06-25 00:37:16	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x1a6049…
06-24 23:14:49	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9060b8…
06-24 23:14:37	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd95f5…
06-24 23:14:29	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0d2873…
06-24 23:14:26	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe79c8c…
06-24 23:14:20	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaa5679…
06-24 23:14:16	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xe55cef…
06-23 20:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6ebde4…
06-17 18:00:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x774f47…
06-17 08:05:23	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x77dcff…
06-15 13:00:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xa3cb4b…
06-11 13:30:36	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x5a2824…
06-06 15:51:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf21663…
06-03 22:09:34	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9c17a4…
06-03 14:00:11	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xf9ffb4…
05-31 23:38:36	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe150da…
05-27 10:49:00	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd34280…
05-27 10:49:00	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x070ef1…
05-19 09:00:39	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xdae545…
05-18 14:29:54	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x988d93…
05-18 14:14:24	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb8c14f…
05-18 11:23:50	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xebb076…
05-18 11:10:53	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x0c6670…
05-15 13:33:54	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x90b499…
05-15 13:28:53	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x218b36…
05-13 00:39:14	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xb7388a…
05-12 12:41:26	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x1c1de3…
05-11 14:01:54	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xaad78f…
05-10 19:35:19	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x732ea6…
05-09 23:09:12	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xc46583…
05-06 23:02:27	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xabfcf9…
05-06 23:00:14	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xed44dc…
05-06 15:19:24	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x844d08…
04-08 08:20:45	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x1965cf…