Sure-Footed-Pseudoscience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.32K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.85K

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$6.28K

22 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-08 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

52% 34% +$806

Politics

27% 64% +$891

Crypto

19% 42% +$1,179

Sports

2% 0% -$556

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	+1,938	$458	87¢	$1.7K	+$1,234	11-02 20:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,456	$1,208	11¢	$492	-$716	11-04 05:19
Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	+576	$152	83¢	$478	+$325	09-11 13:25
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,518	$114	31¢	$464	+$350	11-02 20:15
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+490	$87	94¢	$463	+$375	09-20 14:28
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,445	$311	29¢	$421	+$110	11-04 18:01
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+539	$129	78¢	$418	+$288	07-16 13:38
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	+552	$143	66¢	$366	+$224	10-05 15:41
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	+370	$306	95¢	$353	+$47	10-22 19:28
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+537	$189	62¢	$333	+$144	09-11 14:07
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	-177	-$150	94¢	$-167	-$16	04-28 23:25
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+880	$328	18¢	$163	-$165	11-04 05:16
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+428	$115	34¢	$143	+$29	09-06 14:52
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-108	-$93	92¢	$-99	-$7	08-29 10:33
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	+125	$63	54¢	$68	+$5	11-04 05:48
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+150	$47	34¢	$52	+$4	09-07 16:26
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	-669	-$21	6¢	$-37	-$16	11-02 20:00
will decibel launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+50	$27	74¢	$37	+$11	07-02 01:24
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	+802	$255	2¢	$17	-$238	09-11 13:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	+290	$150	3¢	$8	-$142	10-26 18:56
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	No	+29	$4	26¢	$7	+$4	05-23 22:21
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+5	$2	28¢	$1	$0	10-21 07:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	13	$3.2K	2,140	2,140	+0	No	+$875	09-16 19:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$2.4K	1,918	1,918	+0	No	+$177	05-19 00:38
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	27	$1.9K	1,746	1,746	+0	Yes	+$538	05-26 13:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.6K	2,908	2,908	+0	No	-$800	05-23 10:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	12	$1.2K	827	827	+0	No	+$402	05-28 16:00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.2K	4,456	0	+4,456	open	—	11-04 05:19
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	2	$1.1K	1,854	0	+1,854	Yes	+$752	04-30 11:50
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	9	$1.1K	553	879	-326	No	+$207	08-13 13:35
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$990	1,414	0	+1,414	No	+$424	04-29 00:01
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	12	$842	1,516	0	+1,516	Yes	+$674	09-10 19:21
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	8	$783	204	627	-423	No	-$29	09-09 15:59
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	9	$714	425	425	+0	open	—	10-01 13:17
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	9	$659	1,138	0	+1,138	Yes	+$479	05-26 13:47
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	12	$560	753	0	+753	Yes	+$193	05-26 13:42
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	1	$539	0	544	-544	No	-$5	09-02 15:50
standx fdv above 50m one day after launch	3	$521	365	365	+0	open	—	10-15 07:06
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	10	$487	0	692	-692	open	—	05-23 22:07
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	5	$472	770	0	+770	open	—	10-22 18:53
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	8	$467	418	418	+0	open	—	09-06 14:51
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?	15	$461	933	933	+0	No	-$391	09-10 19:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	3	$458	1,938	0	+1,938	open	—	11-02 20:04
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?	1	$417	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	11-02 20:16
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$415	263	263	+0	open	—	10-15 07:07
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	6	$391	3,086	1,742	+1,344	Yes	-$317	06-07 21:21
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$368	226	226	+0	open	—	09-18 21:34
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	3	$354	303	303	+0	open	—	10-22 19:11
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	7	$350	438	281	+157	No	-$63	05-28 21:53
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	4	$334	201	201	+0	open	—	10-05 15:37
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$328	880	0	+880	open	—	11-04 05:16
Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?	9	$324	354	205	+149	open	—	09-20 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:53:22	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0xb57957…
11-08 02:53:06	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x38d904…
11-08 02:52:45	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xe7528d…
11-04 18:01:00	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	843	20¢	$171	0x032fc6…
11-04 05:48:58	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	125	58¢	$73	0xe6d873…
11-04 05:48:30	Surf FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xd49574…
11-04 05:19:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	991	10¢	$95	0x1b3c59…
11-04 05:17:01	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	392	26¢	$104	0x480a11…
11-04 05:16:01	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	27¢	$60	0x81387c…
11-04 05:15:25	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0x7f3b12…
11-04 05:14:48	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0x161a9c…
11-04 04:56:21	Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	86¢	$153	0xd4d202…
11-04 04:55:55	Will Catena launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	29	78¢	$22	0x846d0a…
11-04 04:55:42	Will Catena launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x66b1e1…
11-02 20:21:07	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x9fab6e…
11-02 20:21:01	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xbe917c…
11-02 20:16:58	Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1,462	29¢	$417	0x0e42cf…
11-02 20:15:45	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,391	7¢	$101	0x9016ce…
11-02 20:04:16	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	244	27¢	$65	0xbb6733…
11-02 20:01:37	Will KAST launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xd0cbc1…
11-02 20:01:13	Will KAST launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x9c5b81…
11-02 20:00:55	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	762	5¢	$35	0x31f758…
11-01 21:56:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xb80e97…
11-01 21:49:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	272	25¢	$68	0xe34fa3…
11-01 21:48:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	2¢	$3	0xcf5d1a…
10-31 19:33:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,422	23¢	$325	0x795a3b…
10-29 13:47:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	247	0¢	$0	0xa2d590…
10-27 19:20:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xe3d137…
10-27 19:20:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	202	1¢	$1	0x65a3b1…
10-27 19:20:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xf0f2b4…
10-27 19:19:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0xc08607…
10-27 19:19:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xc8ee53…
10-27 19:19:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	354	1¢	$4	0xdcd6c0…
10-26 18:58:09	Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xb22fcc…
10-26 18:56:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xa55a22…
10-26 18:56:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	123	1¢	$1	0x4355ea…
10-26 18:53:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x031b7a…
10-26 18:51:08	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,134	1¢	$7	0x14c8e9…
10-26 14:19:36	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0x60a54f…
10-22 19:28:50	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xa45ce5…
10-22 19:26:51	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x79858a…
10-22 19:12:14	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	97¢	$214	0x6b1bea…
10-22 19:11:59	Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	303	97¢	$294	0x8067aa…
10-22 18:53:53	Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x777e2a…
10-22 18:50:45	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0x89b47e…
10-22 18:50:38	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x189041…
10-21 07:01:05	Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x34c3f9…
10-21 07:00:09	Will Surf launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$8	0x9b7733…
10-21 06:59:57	Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x8c0dfe…
10-21 06:59:56	Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	262	69¢	$181	0x73a876…
10-20 20:34:38	Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	17¢	$15	0x225dc5…
10-15 07:07:38	StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	263	97¢	$254	0x3afbb4…
10-15 07:06:04	standx fdv above 50m one day after launch	No	SELL	365	98¢	$356	0xd77008…
10-05 15:41:29	Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	552	26¢	$143	0x4a0bff…
10-05 15:37:41	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	119	90¢	$107	0xcbaf2a…
10-03 10:16:17	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	365	16¢	$58	0x1ac7bf…
10-01 13:17:27	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	152	94¢	$143	0x6eff33…
10-01 06:44:29	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	122	84¢	$102	0xcaf8e3…
10-01 06:40:15	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xed382f…
10-01 06:40:09	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x7ac2bf…
10-01 06:37:53	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x311807…
10-01 06:37:44	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x1a2888…
10-01 06:37:27	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	71	84¢	$60	0x11658f…
10-01 06:36:14	Will Catena launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0x161e85…
10-01 06:34:29	Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x585d7f…
10-01 06:33:33	Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xbb814f…
09-30 10:18:42	Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	588	0¢	$1	0x22dd7b…
09-27 19:33:54	Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0xf0c40c…
09-25 13:14:29	Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	16¢	$14	0xe7c1b4…
09-25 13:13:57	Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x121738…
09-24 21:07:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x160192…
09-24 21:06:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xd63f3f…
09-24 13:31:32	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0x991ccd…
09-22 14:33:18	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xcf53a5…
09-22 14:32:57	Will Jumper launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xe4fcd5…
09-22 14:15:34	Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	649	2¢	$15	0x38a338…
09-22 00:34:15	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	36¢	$61	0xcceadd…
09-20 14:30:39	Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	75	65¢	$48	0x8fbb9e…
09-20 14:28:58	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	22¢	$28	0xf149c8…
09-20 14:26:04	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4ca320…
09-18 21:48:19	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	BUY	421	35¢	$149	0x0c3ba0…
09-18 21:42:37	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	27¢	$58	0x806078…
09-18 21:41:13	Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	90	70¢	$63	0x4a877c…
09-18 21:38:16	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x6c8a9f…
09-18 21:36:25	Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x4b1ebc…
09-18 21:34:43	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	226	88¢	$199	0x1926b1…
09-16 20:00:06	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x26cb63…
09-16 19:59:49	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0xe518ee…
09-16 19:59:40	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x03bc02…
09-16 19:57:58	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0x35968e…
09-16 19:57:24	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	19¢	$12	0x8526a3…
09-16 19:53:01	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x72b17b…
09-16 19:52:15	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	226	75¢	$169	0x71dded…
09-16 19:50:58	Will Veda launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x617758…
09-16 19:50:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0xa8758b…
09-16 19:49:57	Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x68ca03…
09-16 19:49:52	Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1c496c…
09-16 19:49:45	Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x525eb6…
09-16 13:47:24	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x46b8e8…
09-16 05:30:03	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	409	0¢	$1	0x3e9e84…