Realized P&L
+$31
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
70
lifetime
Volume
$2.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$251
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 06-23 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$31
Other
26%
Crypto
5% 0%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +56 $49 92¢ $51 +$2 06-23 18:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +73 $50 66¢ $48 $-2 06-10 06:30
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -59 $-40 74¢ $-43 $-3 06-04 02:56
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -72 $-39 55¢ $-40 $-0 06-16 07:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +65 $39 45¢ $29 $-10 06-16 07:59
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -30 $-20 70¢ $-21 $-1 06-19 06:37
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +46 $25 42¢ $19 $-6 06-16 07:58