Realized P&L
+$63
Unrealized P&L
-$95
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
48
Trades
94
lifetime
Volume
$2.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$480
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-05 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Politics
66% 59% +$15
Other
28% 62% +$42
Crypto
4% 33% -$4
Tech
2% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +104 $70 72¢ $74 +$5 10-05 05:00
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -83 -$30 80¢ $-67 -$37 05-03 19:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +65 $51 97¢ $62 +$11 05-27 06:47
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -62 -$52 98¢ $-60 -$8 06-07 11:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +56 $49 97¢ $54 +$5 06-23 18:01
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -72 -$39 73¢ $-53 -$14 06-16 07:58
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -59 -$40 65¢ $-38 +$2 06-04 02:56
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -30 -$20 87¢ $-26 -$6 06-19 06:37
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -22 -$18 82¢ $-18 +$0 09-30 11:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -15 -$12 96¢ $-14 -$2 06-27 07:31
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +46 $25 18¢ $8 -$17 06-16 07:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +65 $39 8¢ $5 -$34 06-16 07:59