Unused-Explanation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$143

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-09 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$31

Other

23% — —

Crypto

6% 0% —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	-59	$-40	73¢	$-43	$-3	06-04 02:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+45	$30	68¢	$31	+$1	06-04 02:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+35	$30	86¢	$30	+$0	06-04 03:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+36	$30	82¢	$29	$-1	06-09 08:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	+18	$10	56¢	$10	+$0	06-09 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$322	194	194	+0	Yes	+$31	04-03 08:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$224	151	127	+25	open	—	04-01 18:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	01-30 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$100	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 04:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$86	71	71	+0	open	—	03-31 10:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$84	52	52	+0	open	—	04-12 18:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$72	46	46	+0	open	—	05-27 06:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$70	41	41	+0	open	—	04-16 20:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$69	48	48	+0	open	—	04-08 04:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	04-02 05:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$61	48	48	+0	open	—	03-25 14:55
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$55	41	41	+0	open	—	03-26 19:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$52	54	54	+0	open	—	04-08 04:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$52	62	0	+62	open	—	04-08 09:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 11:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$47	30	30	+0	open	—	04-12 18:28
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$45	27	27	+0	open	—	04-18 18:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	06-07 11:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$40	0	59	-59	open	—	06-04 02:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	06-04 02:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	06-09 08:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	06-04 03:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$29	36	36	+0	open	—	02-28 20:43
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$25	64	64	+0	open	—	04-05 17:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$23	26	0	+26	open	—	06-07 11:24
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-03 11:05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 15:53
north korea missile launch by february 14	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	02-02 18:31
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-07 15:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-09 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:27:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbf2db0…
06-09 08:20:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x9783fb…
06-07 15:08:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x021585…
06-07 11:34:55	btc updown 5m 1780831800	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x50629a…
06-07 11:31:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x3e3456…
06-07 11:24:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0xd43e6f…
06-07 11:24:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xfe9960…
06-04 03:03:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xd27f05…
06-04 02:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x6d098a…
06-04 02:58:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb12c13…
06-04 02:57:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa4d90d…
06-04 02:56:42	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	59	68¢	$40	0x0c800f…
05-27 06:45:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0x77424a…
05-17 06:04:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xd0f5e1…
05-12 04:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf7e92b…
05-12 04:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfdc48d…
05-12 04:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x390287…
04-25 09:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xa65912…
04-24 06:42:46	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x883673…
04-18 18:48:12	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xe7520c…
04-16 20:31:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xec35e1…
04-15 18:50:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1cc815…
04-15 18:48:46	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xd2b1ac…
04-13 16:14:11	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc9e62a…
04-12 18:35:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x966cdd…
04-12 18:28:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xc2a221…
04-08 09:30:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xc689cd…
04-08 04:37:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0xf4ae78…
04-08 04:32:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	48	81¢	$39	0xd6e387…
04-08 04:32:03	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x81ce56…
04-05 17:05:23	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	64	24¢	$15	0xc3154f…
04-03 11:05:41	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x8c5144…
04-03 08:49:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x424a2d…
04-03 08:48:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0x12b5dd…
04-03 08:44:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	194	91¢	$177	0x85b2b8…
04-02 06:05:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xa1eb12…
04-02 06:00:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x37fb58…
04-02 05:59:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x707dda…
04-01 18:47:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x1433a5…
04-01 18:26:27	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xd4a0aa…
04-01 18:00:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x4cf3a2…
03-31 13:57:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xda44e2…
03-31 10:52:13	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x4234d8…
03-31 10:51:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	64¢	$46	0xe13314…
03-30 17:35:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	127	82¢	$104	0x40046d…
03-29 13:42:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x7469ba…
03-28 16:26:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x442622…
03-28 15:44:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x03b660…
03-26 19:11:43	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	41	86¢	$35	0xb888af…
03-25 19:54:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x33a4f3…
03-25 14:55:21	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	48	65¢	$31	0xca5aed…
03-24 21:17:01	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6cc70c…
03-08 11:57:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x7a8d66…
02-28 20:43:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	54¢	$19	0xfd1e8c…
02-28 15:53:57	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xd87b3c…
02-07 19:28:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	194	75¢	$146	0x0d78ce…
02-02 18:31:08	north korea missile launch by february 14	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xf8cff8…
02-01 16:47:32	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4a33b6…
02-01 14:55:40	sc2 zoun heroma 2026 02 01	Zoun	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x586b3c…
02-01 14:09:22	sc2 zoun heroma 2026 02 01	Zoun	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd65e4e…
01-31 10:58:46	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc3a2b4…
01-30 22:26:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0eaf63…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	32	$596.1K	9,258	06-10 01:13
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	32	$242.9K	18,168	06-10 00:47
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	30	$10.7M	18,651	06-10 01:38
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	30	$78.2K	646	06-09 08:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	29	$13.7K	1,200	06-08 10:47
Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c	28	$1.46K	282	06-09 22:42
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	27	$170.6K	2,825	06-10 01:04
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	27	$14.7K	3,855	06-09 22:09