Realized P&L
+$2.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
86.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
82
lifetime
Volume
$4.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$442
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 07-03 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
47%
Sports
46% 50% +$2,644
Crypto
4%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -209 $-77 46¢ $-97 $-20 06-01 13:41
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -400 $-64 16¢ $-64 +$0 06-01 12:37
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -400 $-100 14¢ $-54 +$46 05-31 20:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes -932 $-56 $-51 +$5 06-08 22:14
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +703 $39 $38 $-0 07-02 22:34
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes -1,005 $-33 $-36 $-3 06-08 22:29
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +2,318 $30 $27 $-3 07-02 22:38
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -700 $-41 $-23 +$18 06-08 21:46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes +186 $14 11¢ $20 +$5 07-03 00:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -600 $-34 $-15 +$19 06-08 13:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +60 $11 17¢ $10 $-1 07-03 00:21
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +54 $8 13¢ $7 $-1 07-03 00:15