(anonymous) 0x9f8b79…3322ac
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$148
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
41.7%
Resolved (7d)
67
Trades (7d)
103
270 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$808
$2.85K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$201
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 02:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
71% 41% +$8
Politics
22% 45% +$42
Sports
6% 57% +$135
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +67 $40 60¢ $40 +$0 10-10 14:05
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +28 $20 63¢ $18 -$2 10-15 14:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +18 $13 88¢ $15 +$2 11-01 14:27
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +161 $5 7¢ $12 +$7 10-30 19:16
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-11-01? Yes — +10 $5 99¢ $10 +$5 11-02 02:02
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +22 $10 44¢ $10 $0 10-28 19:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +20 $10 46¢ $9 -$1 08-29 18:01
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +78 $8 12¢ $9 +$1 10-29 14:41
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +20 $10 43¢ $9 -$1 10-28 19:42
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +42 $10 20¢ $8 -$2 10-29 14:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +75 $15 11¢ $8 -$7 10-17 14:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +26 $10 22¢ $6 -$4 10-27 13:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +50 $15 12¢ $6 -$9 08-30 16:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +27 $10 20¢ $6 -$4 10-17 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $8 28¢ $5 -$3 10-31 17:03
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +60 $5 8¢ $5 +$0 10-28 08:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +48 $10 11¢ $5 -$5 10-26 10:07
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $5 $0 11-01 22:50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $5 40¢ $4 -$1 11-01 21:59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 10-27 15:01
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +50 $6 8¢ $4 -$2 11-01 22:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $6 8¢ $3 -$4 10-31 17:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +119 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 07-12 13:37
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +7 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 10-30 19:15