(anonymous) 0x9f8b79…3322ac Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$69
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved (90d)
189
Trades (90d)
345
407 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.81K
$4.49K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$139
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 22:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
75% 48% -$14
Politics
21% 39% +$9
Sports
4% 57% +$135
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +67 $40 54¢ $36 -$4 10-10 14:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +31 $15 60¢ $19 +$4 10-26 10:10
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +161 $5 7¢ $12 +$7 10-30 19:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +24 $6 46¢ $11 +$5 11-06 17:13
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +18 $12 59¢ $10 -$2 11-07 13:21
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +78 $8 13¢ $10 +$2 10-29 14:41
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? Yes +20 $10 44¢ $9 -$1 11-08 04:30
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +40 $10 12¢ $5 -$5 10-27 16:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +10 $6 46¢ $5 -$1 11-04 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +50 $15 8¢ $4 -$11 08-30 16:47
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +22 $5 19¢ $4 -$1 11-08 09:54
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 38¢ $4 $0 11-06 18:15
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +45 $12 6¢ $3 -$9 11-06 14:33
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +48 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 10-26 10:07
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +119 $5 2¢ $3 -$2 07-12 13:37
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10 $9 9¢ $1 -$8 11-06 14:33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +31 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-06 14:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +13 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 11-06 14:32
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +8 $9 3¢ $0 -$9 11-06 14:32