(anonymous) 0x9f8b79…3322ac Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved (30d)
159
Trades (30d)
282
368 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.18K
$4.18K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$139
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
74% 47% +$8
Politics
22% 38% +$13
Sports
4% 57% +$135
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +67 $40 55¢ $37 -$3 10-10 14:05
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +21 $19 94¢ $20 +$1 11-06 02:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +31 $15 63¢ $20 +$5 10-26 10:10
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +161 $5 7¢ $11 +$6 10-30 19:16
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +78 $8 13¢ $10 +$2 10-29 14:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +75 $15 11¢ $8 -$7 10-17 14:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +50 $15 10¢ $5 -$10 08-30 16:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +10 $6 46¢ $5 -$1 11-04 20:10
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? Yes +52 $10 8¢ $4 -$6 10-27 22:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +5 $4 77¢ $4 +$0 11-04 12:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +48 $10 8¢ $4 -$6 10-26 10:07
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +20 $10 14¢ $3 -$7 10-28 19:42
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +119 $5 2¢ $3 -$2 07-12 13:37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 10-27 15:01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +42 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 10-29 14:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +33 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 10-31 17:02