Realized P&L (7d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved (7d)
68
Trades (7d)
85
973 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$479
$6.48K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$95
27 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 11-09 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
71% 70% +$578
Politics
23% 53% -$22
Sports
4% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
2% 50% +$6
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +20 $17 99¢ $20 +$3 10-23 01:16
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +14 $11 99¢ $14 +$2 10-05 18:14
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? Yes +16 $11 57¢ $9 -$2 11-01 03:55
Will Thomas Aeschi win the Swiss Federal Council by-election? No +11 $9 79¢ $9 $0 11-09 05:19
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 10-05 08:14
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? No +8 $5 71¢ $6 +$1 10-29 19:30
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? No +19 $11 29¢ $5 -$6 10-31 20:01
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes +10 $5 49¢ $5 +$0 11-08 05:21
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No +6 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 11-09 11:12
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +12 $3 28¢ $3 +$1 10-29 23:39
Will Pierre Alain Schnegg win the Swiss Federal Council by-election? No +4 $2 76¢ $3 +$0 11-07 21:05
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +3 $2 71¢ $2 $0 11-09 10:36
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +6 $0 26¢ $2 +$1 11-08 19:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +7 $5 15¢ $1 -$4 10-27 10:10
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +8 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 11-06 18:04
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-05 19:41
Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14? No +7 $1 12¢ $1 $0 11-09 02:03
Will 110 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026? Yes +20 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 11-08 04:44
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$1 10-11 10:17
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +13 $11 3¢ $0 -$11 09-28 00:20
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +5 $5 6¢ $0 -$4 09-30 02:04
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? No +8 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-16 07:16
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 10-29 19:06
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +0 $1 38¢ $0 -$1 11-08 01:39
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +6 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 10-27 00:06
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +0 -$2 62¢ $0 +$2 10-18 10:25
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +0 -$1 26¢ $0 +$1 11-06 06:23