Notable-Notion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

286

Trades

642

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-25 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 69% -$23

Other

41% 35% -$32

Tech

0% 50% +$1

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	5	$59	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	4	$46	54	54	+0	No	-$6	05-13 03:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	13	$40	34	34	+1	No	+$6	04-25 11:58
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$35	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	04-25 23:45
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$34	31	30	+1	Down	+$4	04-25 23:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	10	$31	36	36	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?	3	$29	49	24	+24	No	-$13	05-13 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	6	$29	27	27	+0	No	+$3	05-13 06:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	3	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	3	$22	22	22	+0	Yes	+$6	05-11 02:31
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	7	$22	96	17	+79	Yes	+$7	04-25 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	13	$22	43	43	+0	No	-$1	05-05 15:13
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	04-25 22:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$21	15	14	+0	Down	+$1	04-25 18:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	8	$21	24	24	+1	No	-$1	04-24 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	3	$21	64	64	+0	No	-$1	05-13 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	4	$20	35	35	+0	No	-$2	04-24 18:37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	6	$20	22	22	+1	Yes	$0	04-26 11:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$20	13	12	+0	Up	+$4	04-25 18:35
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	Up	-$20	04-25 23:58
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	04-25 18:05
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	04-25 23:50
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	04-25 20:10
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	04-25 22:25
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$15	24	0	+24	Up	+$0	04-25 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?	2	$15	17	17	+0	Yes	+$5	05-14 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 06:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	3	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	04-29 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	2	$13	23	23	+0	No	-$1	05-10 15:25
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$13	10	5	+5	Up	-$3	04-26 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7fecab…
05-25 06:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9b7c47…
05-21 12:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x4e4384…
05-21 12:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x768646…
05-20 14:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe86c3e…
05-19 17:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0ed680…
05-19 14:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x81b26d…
05-18 08:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x787e3d…
05-18 08:18:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1b3e0c…
05-18 02:53:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xce0c62…
05-17 03:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x08c893…
05-17 02:56:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4cda2a…
05-17 02:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xdb9e0d…
05-17 01:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x65567b…
05-17 01:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xb24d07…
05-17 01:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x260ebd…
05-17 01:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe78b69…
05-17 00:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x45bf0e…
05-16 14:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x6c4ab6…
05-16 13:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd1340d…
05-16 08:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x9fef52…
05-16 08:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5456e5…
05-16 05:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc17145…
05-16 04:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x38f353…
05-16 04:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x77f256…
05-16 04:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x963f9a…
05-15 17:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8099d4…
05-15 14:23:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x5aa1d9…
05-15 14:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x880b25…
05-15 11:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xaa6a29…
05-15 11:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x55bb4d…
05-15 07:18:07	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8cb8db…
05-15 05:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x7fed03…
05-14 17:38:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x6ae355…
05-14 17:38:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x934712…
05-14 14:53:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x63b420…
05-14 14:49:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa42b0e…
05-14 13:25:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xe4bff7…
05-14 06:00:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1acdbf…
05-14 04:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x7c20f9…
05-14 04:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x973d07…
05-13 15:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x26f1ab…
05-13 12:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4eb918…
05-13 06:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x8db565…
05-13 05:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4b988b…
05-13 05:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x429973…
05-13 04:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xbc98c7…
05-13 04:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x7caa84…
05-13 04:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xa1b354…
05-13 04:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x803884…
05-13 04:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x276404…
05-13 04:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x8990ed…
05-13 04:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x5d5197…
05-13 03:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xcf082a…
05-13 03:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x68d4e5…
05-13 02:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc95959…
05-13 01:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xa0fad6…
05-13 01:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa422ee…
05-13 01:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x2ccc8c…
05-13 00:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xe8992f…
05-12 13:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0xbdbecb…
05-12 08:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2fc231…
05-12 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xf9109b…
05-12 07:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x192b20…
05-12 07:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0x6cdc6f…
05-12 07:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x0ce582…
05-11 15:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x977026…
05-11 15:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x459c95…
05-11 06:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x9d843f…
05-11 04:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x9a5435…
05-11 04:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x30dd10…
05-11 02:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x05a506…
05-11 02:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x97c97a…
05-11 02:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe9aaf2…
05-10 19:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xa30c47…
05-10 15:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x7bdcee…
05-10 08:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xc461d8…
05-10 08:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xdb3c35…
05-10 08:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0xa1ea4e…
05-10 07:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x62c22e…
05-10 07:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x11eaa2…
05-09 06:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x6b6d35…
05-05 21:13:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x9b24fc…
05-05 21:11:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xddee05…
05-05 21:02:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6c7f58…
05-05 21:01:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x0e1580…
05-05 21:01:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x479114…
05-05 20:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x68543d…
05-05 20:59:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x53dd03…
05-05 20:57:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb90fbe…
05-05 20:57:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4af90e…
05-05 20:53:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x847773…
05-05 20:52:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xa64ca5…
05-05 20:51:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x20a167…
05-05 20:48:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6abdab…
05-05 20:47:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x82469d…
05-05 20:45:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0366b8…
05-05 20:44:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7877f1…
05-05 20:39:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8501bb…
05-05 20:37:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x367320…