Irresponsible-Clone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

114

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$129

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-28 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

36% 83% +$8

Crypto

32% 71% -$73

Politics

17% 82% +$9

Sports

7% 100% +$8

Tech

7% 88% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+42	$41	97¢	$41	$0	10-21 17:24
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+31	$31	99¢	$31	+$0	10-14 06:32
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+29	$28	97¢	$28	+$0	10-25 18:57
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+20	$20	97¢	$19	$0	09-15 20:35
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	09-12 12:19
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-09 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	13	$575	390	390	+0	No	-$46	05-07 15:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 7	3	$219	110	110	+0	No	+$1	04-07 14:26
atp trungel majchrz 2026 04 01	3	$198	100	100	+0	Marco Trungelliti	+$2	04-01 11:57
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	2	$178	90	90	+0	Magic	+$1	04-04 02:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 14?	3	$159	80	80	+0	No	$0	09-14 10:26
ethereum above 2100 on april 9	5	$158	80	80	+0	Yes	+$2	04-09 14:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$149	76	76	+0	No	+$1	03-21 14:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 12	2	$143	72	72	+0	No	+$0	04-12 15:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	3	$140	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 07:00
solana above 80 on march 3	4	$136	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 14:24
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	8	$128	66	66	+0	Yes	+$0	08-23 00:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	8	$121	66	66	+0	open	—	10-26 16:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$118	61	61	+0	No	+$4	06-01 04:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$116	62	62	+0	open	—	05-20 09:56
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-30 06:02
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$109	55	55	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	+$1	03-23 03:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 30	2	$109	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 14:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	8	$105	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	03-29 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	3	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$1	04-15 15:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	10-13 14:17
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-12 05:16
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 1	3	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 13:37
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-27 10:13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	05-30 09:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	-$1	04-13 11:00
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$94	48	48	+0	No	+$0	07-11 03:20
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	09-09 10:32
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$2	03-19 05:15
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	07-14 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xba6c23…
10-26 16:40:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0xfef9cf…
10-25 18:57:59	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x6e34a4…
10-24 07:15:18	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x6f82ab…
10-21 17:24:23	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xe5242c…
10-20 08:08:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xa8fee6…
10-19 03:25:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2442d1…
10-15 02:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9299a5…
10-14 06:32:01	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0c745b…
10-13 14:17:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x7c9442…
10-12 08:11:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3eeb42…
10-12 08:00:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x440d64…
10-12 07:55:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xb4b2c1…
10-12 06:52:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0165c1…
10-12 05:16:48	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x965943…
10-12 05:16:48	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x4426be…
10-12 05:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8691e8…
10-11 09:37:12	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xda53f0…
10-08 23:22:59	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xab724f…
10-04 11:56:17	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x82d9d6…
10-03 14:10:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x908b45…
10-01 09:07:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e1109…
10-01 09:00:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcd33b4…
10-01 07:38:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x1a2883…
09-30 13:54:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83fda6…
09-30 13:51:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf76e1a…
09-29 07:59:23	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x896870…
09-27 21:17:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xbba8ac…
09-26 11:24:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6502e6…
09-23 06:33:01	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x23558f…
09-22 14:28:34	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xa2f3ce…
09-22 05:56:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0xf7f5fb…
09-22 05:49:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xd2e5c3…
09-20 12:45:06	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xe2351f…
09-19 02:35:46	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x9489bc…
09-16 06:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x04d17d…
09-15 20:35:48	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x081bf8…
09-15 17:20:31	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x5a8530…
09-15 17:20:25	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa30f2a…
09-14 10:26:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 14?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xcc57fd…
09-14 06:20:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 14?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xf26326…
09-14 05:55:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e6962…
09-13 10:33:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xff7a03…
09-12 12:19:12	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fd934…
09-09 10:32:06	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x850b14…
09-09 09:31:09	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0xe1bfc2…
09-07 17:42:46	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x82a783…
09-05 19:32:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x9b46a4…
09-05 06:26:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x498c06…
09-03 08:04:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xfedba4…
08-31 19:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fb7e3…
08-31 04:21:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x1625b7…
08-30 11:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4fb1be…
08-27 10:11:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x09156d…
08-27 08:57:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	49	77¢	$38	0xe8b0c8…
08-27 07:37:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x927ec0…
08-25 11:12:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x84b747…
08-25 09:14:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x192fee…
08-24 13:45:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x300b3a…
08-23 00:16:21	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x49f0ea…
08-22 12:32:40	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x67743f…
08-22 09:10:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xf662f5…
08-22 08:37:06	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x32b595…
08-22 03:34:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xd14974…
08-20 12:51:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2ab36f…
08-18 11:03:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xe2fdd5…
08-18 02:47:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xe06d76…
08-17 04:27:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x180bc5…
08-14 15:09:51	bitcoin above 62k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa4534c…
08-12 03:44:42	mlb tb oak 2026 08 11	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd1c0b1…
08-11 11:26:37	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x3099a8…
08-11 11:26:07	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb8bc3a…
08-07 21:23:06	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8a0119…
08-07 07:50:31	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x19b81e…
07-31 10:33:41	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x4d2a94…
07-31 10:15:57	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xec3c73…
07-31 07:41:06	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x7560f3…
07-27 01:10:55	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xffc22c…
07-26 23:23:40	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x587b2c…
07-26 23:08:55	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xda9f5d…
07-26 04:25:33	bitcoin above 64k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8b8e6e…
07-24 14:28:09	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x863c1e…
07-24 05:18:04	bitcoin above 64k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x15f400…
07-22 21:06:37	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x453607…
07-19 07:55:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x3964c1…
07-17 10:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6f0717…
07-14 20:00:07	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xaed7c6…
07-13 09:10:25	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6c63e7…
07-13 08:55:22	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe3c401…
07-13 08:55:20	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc5be54…
07-13 08:55:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4c5249…
07-13 08:55:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0b13aa…
07-13 08:54:16	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x54e0a0…
07-13 08:52:52	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x519501…
07-13 08:52:29	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x603cf1…
07-13 08:52:19	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2e4c07…
07-13 08:35:44	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf16d81…
07-13 08:27:52	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x199f67…
07-13 05:21:49	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc157a1…
07-13 05:19:41	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x229af5…