Kindhearted-Dinosaur 0xa0bb2c…ba2a16
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$820
Unrealized P&L
-$220
Hit rate
50.2%
Resolved
96
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$9.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$945
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-09 17:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
54% 33% +$156
Other
41% 16% -$947
Sports
6% 33% -$18
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$265 10¢ $-197 +$68 07-08 09:09
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $223 34¢ $172 -$50 09-26 19:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +800 $152 14¢ $115 -$37 08-30 22:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +225 $92 34¢ $75 -$17 10-09 17:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +500 $97 14¢ $70 -$27 09-19 19:07
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +200 $52 26¢ $51 -$1 09-19 19:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +300 $51 17¢ $51 $0 09-26 19:26
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $34 18¢ $36 +$2 09-26 19:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +200 $32 14¢ $27 -$5 07-19 22:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +400 $44 6¢ $26 -$18 07-19 22:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +176 $16 15¢ $25 +$10 05-20 09:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $22 8¢ $17 -$5 09-19 19:04
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +531 $53 3¢ $16 -$37 06-07 20:12
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +200 $34 8¢ $16 -$18 07-19 22:31
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -235 -$17 6¢ $-14 +$3 07-08 09:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -66 -$17 18¢ $-12 +$5 07-08 09:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $36 3¢ $10 -$26 07-17 04:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $16 3¢ $6 -$10 04-29 17:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +270 $15 2¢ $5 -$10 05-05 19:15
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 Yes +200 $34 1¢ $1 -$33 07-19 22:30
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by october 31 2026 Yes +200 $14 1¢ $1 -$13 07-19 22:35